Dave Pollard's environmental philosophy, creative works, business papers and essays.
In search of a better way to live and make a living, and a better understanding of how the world really works.



April 24, 2003

LET US BE LUDDITES, CONTINUED

Filed under: How the World Really Works,Preparing for Civilization's End — Dave Pollard @ 20:46
Alas, a Blog asked the following question on Tuesday:

If you could name one single piece of technology (and I will leave the individuation problem up to you) the elimination of which would most improve life on earth for us humans, what would it be?

Almost fifty people have suggested their answers to this question. Before you read what they said, think about your answer first. Then go here , read the original post and its fascinating comments thread, and add your two cents.

WHAT’S YOUR ‘KNOWLEDGE BEHAVIOUR’?

Filed under: Using Weblogs and Technology,Working Smarter — Dave Pollard @ 10:59
knowledge value chain Five years ago I had the opportunity to speak to a group of Canadian press representatives about the future of the news media. They listened to me because I buy their newsfeeds and publications databases for our company’s intranet. They didn’t like my message. I told them the news motto for 2003 would be “less is more”, that buyers and readers would want less ‘raw’ news data and more “what does it mean” analysis.

Now I think I was wrong, for two reasons:

  • People often don’t trust the media to be logical, complete and unbiased in their analysis (though for some reason they do tend to trust them to be complete and accurate in the ‘raw’ news they report, ‘embedded’ journalism notwithstanding); and
  • Some people are just news junkies, with an insatiable thirst for ‘raw’ news for its entertainment value, for its own sake. They don’t really care what it means. It’s today’s water cooler, boardroom and coffee klatsch chat fodder, forgotten tomorrow.

During the Iraq war, The Agonist was offering minute-by-minute details of troop movements and other events, with no time for real analysis, and was drawing two million hits per day to his blog. On the other hand, the ‘most e-mailed’ New York Times articles are frequently editorials and op-ed pieces, which I’d guess means the senders think they’re useful or at least inspiring analyses.

What are we to make of this? In the field of Knowledge Management, we recognize a spectrum of ‘knowledge behaviours’, illustrated in the chart at right. These behaviours reflect each individual’s level of trust in their information sources, and their attention span, appetite and available time to process information themselves. At one end of the spectrum (‘A’ on the chart) are news junkies who either don’t trust anyone to analyze information for them, or don’t care what it means. At the other end (‘D’) are those that trust others (their parents, their president, or their preacher) enough to allow those others not only to interpret the news for them, but to prescribe appropriate action. These people probably own a lot of surplus duct tape these days.

Most of us, of course, vacillate along this value chain. We trust some sources implicitly and others not at all. We usually trust major media to at least aggregate the news for us, and often allow analysts and editorialists we know to give us their take on what it means.

Bloggers’ posts, too, range from ‘just the facts’ to far-reaching essays and calls to arms. This blog is usually rated ‘C’, and those that enjoy exchange of ideas and opinions should be at home here. News junkies, and those looking for life’s instructions, will probably have more fun elsewhere. Among Salon blogs, I think Ted Ritzer’s WIFL is an excellent mostly-type-’A’ blog, while The Raven is the consummate type ‘B’, and Toby is an outstanding type ‘C’. I’ve occasionally tried my hand at type ‘D’ posts, but as this thread will attest, bloggers who attempt to pontificate to an unfamiliar and sceptical audience do so at their peril. Even if you’re a Rush Limbaugh preaching to an uncritical choir, it’s all about building trust, and especially these days, trust takes time.

Stories are a clever mechanism to present type ‘C’ and even type ‘D’ knowledge as type ‘A’, in advance of building trust. Most religions are thus built on books of stories, and it’s a prime means of teaching children with short attention spans. Even business is taking stories very seriously these days, as I’ll explain in a future post.

MORE EXTRAORDINARY WEBSITES (RIGHT-BRAIN EDITION)

Filed under: Using Weblogs and Technology — Dave Pollard @ 00:21
stotz Here’s the third instalment of How to Save the World‘s rundown of extraordinary weblogs and websites:
  • Earful of Philosophy: Philosophy Radio is a set of over one hundred audio transcripts on a wide variety of areas of philosophy, including Dawkins on memes, Ignatieff on human rights, Greenfield on consciousness, Kingwell on happiness, Safdie on aesthetics, Lakoff on neuroscience’s debunking of classical philosopy, and of course Monty Python’s philosophers’ drinking song. The RealAudio transcripts are culled by editor T.Hancock mostly from programs like BBC’s In Our Time , CBC’s Ideas , and several NPR programs. Public Radio at its best.
  • Art and its Influences: The website of international artist (and eloquent blog-commenter) Timothy Stotz (self-portrait reproduced at right), with its rich reproductions of Stotz’ paintings and sketches, contains a statement of the artist’s view of art, which includes this pronouncement:

“Painting needs no historical justification or placement, it only needs to give life to beautiful things, and give life to its viewers. Not joy or despair, mysteries or facts, ideals or realities, but life. The full picture.”

This site also includes a remarkable chart showing the influence of artists on other artists through the ages.

  • A Place to Think: Carlos Arribas’ Mysterium is a “journal of poetry, art, ideas, opinion, and the numerous personal obsessions”. An island of calm and articulate reflection in today’s ocean of frenzy and rhetoric.
  • Blogosphere Map: Mikel Maron at BrainOff has an awesome Flash-based real-time world map of Blogosphere posts. While I was watching, Kriselda’s Different Strings post on the new Coronex worm flashed up.
  • Watch This Space: Today the inimitable Esther Dyson started her own Weblog, Release 4.0 . Should be worth a read once it gets going.
  • Ecological Design: The Ecotecture journal has two features that are quite distinctive. First, it’s an “open source” journal. It’s written by its subscribers, and editor Philip Wenz just fills in what’s missing. Secondly, the focus is on design, using human creativity and ingenuity to make huge advances in products, processes and technology by improving their design rather than by invention. It’s a neo-Fullerian approach. Wenz calls it “empowering our readers to solve environmental problems”. It’s far from perfect, and some of the writing is a bit amateurish , but it’s the idea of a collaborative open space focused on finding design solutions to specific problems that’s important. Don’t miss the delightful interview with the Gaia movement’s field marshall, Fritjov Capra .

April 23, 2003

IS SARS DARWINIAN?

Filed under: Our Culture / Ourselves — Dave Pollard @ 09:18
virus What struck me most while reading Demon in the Freezer was how elegantly tailor-made poxviruses are to individual species. Every species of life on Earth has its own poxvirus (or poxviruses) that rarely if ever affect other species. What’s more remarkable, poxviruses only flare up when the population concentration of their host reaches a certain critical level, and then quickly die down again and remain dormant once the host’s numbers have been reduced below that level. They are nature’s (or god’s if you prefer) perfect population control devices, the ultimate antibodies, ensuring biodiversity on Earth for the optimal good of all species.

Although we had the opportunity to eradicate smallpox in the 1970s, a combination of political paranoia and scientific curiosity has allowed significant amounts of this scourge to be retained for dubious “defensive” and research purposes. Due to the fall of the Soviet Union and the entrepreneurial zeal of weapons traders, large amounts of smallpox, anthrax and other diseases have disappeared. No one knows where these WMD are, which is possibly one of the reasons for the recent Iraq war.

But even without these caches of yesterday’s diseases, there are many more awaiting us in nature’s ever-adaptive arsenal. Nature abhors a vacuum, and punishes species that get out of line by introducing new parasites to feed on the excess and bring things back into balance. The plague and other pandemics have always hit populations that grew too close too fast.

And the antibodies that nature produces are entrepreneurial and opportunistic. Why would AIDS and Ebola limit themselves to rare overconcentrations of gorillas and chimps when a hugely overconcentrated species, homo sapiens , is available with a tiny Darwinian mutation to accommodate the 1% difference in the hosts’ DNA? Many, many undifferentiated water-borne bacterial diseases collectively remain the number one killer of humans, especially children. And now West Nile, Norwalk, Legionnaires’ Disease, CJD, and most recently SARS have made opportunistic leaps, no big deal really for a virus. SARS is now mutating faster than its anti-virus can be produced, and the CDC is acknowledging it is probably “here to stay”.

At the risk of further escalating the war between man and nature, a war which man can never win, I suggest that the recent proliferation of new diseases is just the tip of the iceberg. For all our frenzied use of antibiotics, bacteria remain a larger biomass on Earth than man, and they are also older, more ubiquitous, more agile and more resilient. If we continue to overpopulate the planet, we can expect many more, faster evolving and virulent viruses, bacteria and prions to eagerly join the battle against our runaway “human cancer”.

The only solution is a cease-fire. Only by returning our numbers to sustainable levels, where the stresses of overpopulation and overconcentration do not weaken our immunity to the opportunistic diseases just waiting in Darwin’s wings, can we hope to stop the endless escalation of this war on nature, a war that will one way or another lead to our demise.

The result of such a voluntary population drop would be not only greater health and well-being for the human race, but the same for all life on Earth.

Like the war on terrorism, we cannot win the war on nature with ever-more sophisticated weapons. We can only win by peacefully and aggressively dealing with the underlying causes. Because, as economist Peter Jay says in The Wealth of Man, “Darwin always wins in the end.”
_______________________________________

Postscript: Edmund O. Wilson’s latest book, The Future of Life , lays out exactly how such a “cease-fire” with nature could be accomplished.

April 22, 2003

THE OTHER ALTERNATIVE TO WAR

Filed under: How the World Really Works — Dave Pollard @ 21:40
gaza An anonymous reader of How to Save the World has pointed out a grave omission in my list of ten ways to liberate a country . Often the best alternative, s/he pointed out, is not any of these adversarial options, but rather to deal with the root causes that allow the tyrant to seize and retain power in the first place. Causes such as poverty, lack of education, lack of information, and lack of communication with the outside world. Despots and demagogues depend on keeping their subjects disadvantaged, desperate, and misinformed, and painting the external “enemy” as worse than the incumbent. The ultimate weapons against tyranny, then, are education, information, open communication and self-sufficiency. By closing off access to external communication, information, and vital resources, sanctions actually help dictators retain power.

As we turn, at last, to the plight of the Palestinians, whose deprivation and exploitation by extremists from both sides has led to escalating violence and complete abdication of the peace negotiations that were once hauntingly close to success. If we invested a fraction of what we spent on high-tech bombs on Iraq, in building schools and training facilities, locally run businesses and the necessities of life for Palestinians, the seeds of terror could not grow. This eleventh solution, waging peace, is indeed the ultimate alternative to war.

TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE, YET

Filed under: Our Culture / Ourselves,Preparing for Civilization's End — Dave Pollard @ 00:07
fuel cell vehicle An announcement from John Deere and Hydrogenics of a small tractor that runs on fuel cells which double as a power source for your home, has that “too good to be true” smell to it. Here are some of the claims they make. Can someone who knows about fuel cells give us a reality check on this?

The vehicle can reach speeds of up to 50 kilometres an hour, is powerful enough to supply electricity to more than four homes, generates little noise and produces water as its only by-product.

This is the future the way Hydrogenics sees it. Cars that plug into your home at the end of the day that provide power to your fridge, stove and lights. Fleet vehicles that, when parked overnight in the company parking lot, collectively contribute electricity back to the power grid and reduce corporate hydro bills.

If 4 per cent of all vehicles used fuel-cell technology and contributed back to the grid, they could generate more power than hydro, coal and nuclear power combined.

The final paragraph of the article say that “realizing the dream” will take 10 to 30 years, despite recent commitments of $1.2B by the Bush administration and $2B by the Canadian government to advance such technologies. So if the vehicle pictured is available now, and all this money is being invested to “realize the dream”, why will it take 10 to 30 years? What are we not being told here?

April 21, 2003

FACING THE DRAGONS

Filed under: How the World Really Works,Preparing for Civilization's End — Dave Pollard @ 10:08
dragon Our local educational station TVO has been broadcasting a remarkable series of programs called Big Ideas, featuring lectures by speakers like Camille Paglia, George Steiner and Jean Baudrillard. Yesterday’s program featured Jordan Peterson talking about Facing the Dragons. He began by telling the children’s story There’s No Such Thing as a Dragon , written and illustrated by Jack Kent.

In a nutshell, the story is about a little boy who wakes up to find a small dragon on his bed. He pets and plays with the dragon until his mother insists there is no such thing, and from then on the dragon is ignored until it becomes as large as the house, and ends up running down the street with the house on its back. Finally the family acknowledges the dragon really exists, and it quickly shrinks back to kitten size. In case the message was too subtle, the final words from the little boy are “I guess it just wanted to be noticed”.

Peterson goes on to describe the two ways in which people react to the unexpected. If it is perceived as a threat, the reaction is anxiety and fear. If it perceived as an opportunity, the reaction is hope. In both cases, it is necessary to acknowledge the dragon, to confront or explore, and finally to change, to adapt to the new reality. To do nothing is to invite the dragon to get larger, like an unpaid bill or a task put off too long. To do something requires you to take personal responsibility.

It’s a poweful message about the danger of procrastination, of burying one’s head in the sand, and of leaving it up to others to take action. At a personal level, such behaviour can lead to divorce or to suicide. At a national and global level, it can lead to civil war, dictatorship, environmental disaster, unimaginable cruelty and the abrogation of personal rights and freedoms.

There are a lot of people vigorously denying the existence of dragons today, in their families, in their communities, and on the world stage. Liberals are denying the crises on the home front and the tinder keg in many countries worldwide, fooling themselves that it will get better if they just wait it out. Conservatives are denying the utter failure of their draconian measures like “three-strikes laws” and foreign military adventures to lessen the threat to peace and security one iota either at home or abroad. Clowns like environmental holocaust-denyer Lomborg are embraced for concocting fictions that tell us we’re not to blame, it’s not our fault. Religious wingnuts are embraced for telling people to turn their backs on the historical social activism of the church and instead wait for some deus ex machina to solve the problem for them.

Meanwhile, the dragons are just getting bigger and bigger…

April 20, 2003

MEANWHILE ON THE HOME FRONT

Filed under: How the World Really Works,Our Culture / Ourselves — Dave Pollard @ 16:47
comic

Now that Bush is back pushing his reckless “class warfare” tax cut for the rich, Kevin Moore of In Contempt comics reminds us what’s at stake.

IF WAR ISN’T THE ANSWER, WHAT IS?

Filed under: How the World Really Works — Dave Pollard @ 11:44
freedom map

Last month I asked the question “Who’s Next After Iraq?” among the 81 countries (shown in purple on the map above) whose people live under undemocratic, mostly oppressive regimes, many with WMD or the potential to produce them, and most with long litanies of human rights abuses. The retort to the “Who’s next?” question is often another question “If war isn’t the answer, what is?” It’s a fair question, even thought it is obviously ironic when it comes from formerly isolationist neocons.

Assuming the objective is to turn the purple in this map to yellow, or at least orange, here are the options, along with my personal assessment of the appropriateness of each:

  1. Military intervention – This is always the last resort, only to be used when there is ‘clear and present danger’. It always leaves a vacuum, always raises the spectre that what replaces it will be worse than what was vanquished, is always the most expensive solution in every sense of the word, and always leaves wounds that invite retaliation and prolonged violence. It also runs the risk of military failure and huge civilian casualties, either of which can escalate violence and destabilize whole regions, or the whole planet.
  2. Military support for internal opposition – Same pros, cons and risks as military intervention, but sometimes more covert and cheaper, and often less effective. When it is effective, it’s more durable than military intervention.
  3. Political assassination – Same pros, cons and risks as military intervention, but much cheaper. Also illegal under international law.
  4. Sanctions and embargoes – These almost never work, since they punish the people not the administration. There is abundant evidence that sanctions aganst Iraq have led to untold suffering by the Iraqi people and the premature death of half a million people, and had no effect whatsoever on the Iraq government.
  5. International political pressure – Always necessary but rarely sufficient, as anyone from Amnesty International can tell you.
  6. International inspections – The ultimate compromise. May not work. Never really given a fair try.
  7. International trials – Time consuming and risky. May not work. Won’t have a chance to work as long as Bush refuses the support, and continues to undermine, the International Court of Justice. A mechanism is needed for in absentia trials and for bringing those convicted and at large to justice.
  8. International policing – Time consuming and risky. The counterpart and companion to international trials, this is more than just ‘peacekeeping’. 
  9. Political support for internal opposition – Can be helpful, but rarely sufficient.
  10. Do nothing

What do I think the answer is? It depends on what country we’re talking about, how much suffering the regime is inflicting, and what could work under the circumstances. In a country with a benevolent dictatorship like Singapore, I’d do nothing. In a country like Rwanda a combination of options 6 and 7, and a massive expansion of the already-in-use options 5 and 8, would probably have been necessary in 1994 to avert the genocide by machete of almost a million people in three days. Instead, we actually reduced the UN police presence in the area, and some feel we were therefore complicit in the massacre.

In Iraq, I believe the neoliberal-supported sanctions, which have caused massive suffering and premature death, have been as destructive as the neocons’ war. A combination of options 5, 6, 7 and 8 could have worked, and would have sent a much more effective and UN-endorsed message to the rest of the world’s despots, and the people suffering under them, than the cynical military adventure of the Bush regime. And this four-option combination might have actually led to freedom, instead of the Bush legacy the Iraq people must now face: anarchy, a crippled economy, military occupation, economic opportunism, deprivation and new tyranny.

Liberals and Democrats must stop condoning what Bush is doing at home and abroad, out of political cowardice, and instead start offering positive solutions and strategies to combat the incessantly negative, fear-mongering agenda of the Bush regime. Failing this, we risk losing our own freedoms.

April 19, 2003

CORRUPTION IN OLYMPIC SPORTS: THE SCANDAL THAT WON’T GO AWAY

Filed under: How the World Really Works — Dave Pollard @ 09:08
olympics The reports are so overwhelming, the excuses so flimsy, the smell of the entire Olympic governance process so foul, that you have to wonder why someone won’t take charge and clean up the mess before Olympic sport falls into such disrepute that the Games themselves are destroyed. Consider:
  • Clear evidence that the judges who decide who will host the Olympic Games openly accept bribes and award the Games to the city that offers the judges the best ‘perks’, not the city that is best qualified
  • Clear evidence that judges in the many ‘adjudicated’ sports accept bribes and collude with other judges to rig the results
  • Clear evidence, reported on several times in recent years in The New Yorker and other publications that drug testing is grossly inadequate, corrupt, and biased in favour of athletes from certain countries
  • Statements by many leading athletes that governance of Olympic sport, including drug testing, does not protect athletes sufficiently from abuses, and that use of performance-enhancing drugs in Olympic sport is ‘rife’ and ‘nearly universal’

The latest report, this week in the Orange County Register , should come as no surprise to anyone. It says the US Olympic Committee routinely overlooked repeated failed drug tests of over 100 top athletes, who hold dozens of Olympic medals and world records between them. The USOC has routinely fired anyone who dares to question its disreputable activities, including two heads of its drug testing programs. And then they assert the fired employees are just making up allegations (30,000 pages’ worth in this latest report) out of sour grapes because they were fired.

In business, situations like Enron proved that where there is a conflict of interest, the result is all too often abuse, corruption, and fraud. The Olympic bodies like the IOC and the USOC are self-governing bodies, responsible for policing athletes and officials, and for promoting Olympic events and maximizing the success of their athletes. The conflict of interest is utterly unarguable, but there is so much money, and so much national pride in Olympic wins that nobody has shown the courage to address it, and the outrages it has clearly produced. The greatest outrage is the bodies of young athletes destroyed by performance drugs, and the spirits of young athletes destroyed by being cheated out of legitimate rewards.

There is a simple answer. Olympic federations should be limited to doing what they do best: promoting the Olympic movement. Policing of athletes and officials, and standard-setting for both, should be the sole business of a different, autonomous body whose job is to keep amateur sports clean and fair, period. Likewise, the selection of Olympic sites should be made by another separate, autonomous body. Both new bodies should operate completely transparently, with all proceedings and records open to public scrutiny, unlike the secretive Olympic committees.

We have started to implement reforms to prevent management corruption and greed from ruining corporations, their employees and shareholders. It’s time to do the same for sports governance. We must not allow corruption, greed, and nationalism to destroy amateur athletics and the lifelong dreams of young athletes around the world. It’s time for those who govern sport to clean up their act.

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