Dave Pollard's environmental philosophy, creative works, business papers and essays.
In search of a better way to live and make a living, and a better understanding of how the world really works.



January 22, 2006

The End of Civilization as a ‘Software Crash’

Filed under: Preparing for Civilization's End — Dave Pollard @ 14:45
bsod
Four concepts have been spinning around in my mind lately. I instinctively feel that they go together somehow, but until today I wasn’t quite sure how. Now I think I know. The four concepts are:
  • What has allowed human civilization to evolve so quickly in recent millennia has been the gradual switch-over from reliance on instinctive knowledge embedded in our DNA and transmitted genetically (“hardware”) to reliance on ‘rational’ knowledge transmitted through language and communication culturally (“software”). Cultures can adapt to changing circumstances much more rapidly than genes, so evolution has encouraged this switch-over, to the point that we are, in a very real sense, more what our culture has made us than what our genes have made us.
  • Our civilization has a very thin veneer. What keeps the six and a half billion of us ‘behaving’ in a way that allows our now-global civilization to struggle on optimistically is extremely fragile, and when it breaks down even slightly, when our culture fails to tell us what to do and our instincts are no longer listened to, we quickly show we are capable of staggering atrocities, that we are capable of anything.
  • There is some compelling evidence that some of the most ‘advanced’ human civilizations of the past, like those of the Incas and the Anasazi, ended when en masse the people of those civilizations quite suddenly gave up on their ‘civilized’ way of life, concluding that it no longer worked for them, and just walked away, returning to an ‘uncivilized’ gatherer-hunter society.
  • Thanks to reader Martin-Šric Racine, I became aware of this remarkable post by Kai Krause in response to the Edge “what’s your dangerous idea?” question, in which Krause suggests that our civilization may already be falling apart. He says:
On every scale, the closer I observe it, the more the creeping realization haunts me: individuals, families, groups, neighborhoods, cities, states, countries… they all just barely hang in there, between debt and dysfunction. The whole planet looks like Any town with mini malls cutting up the landscape and just down the road it’s all white trash with rusty car wrecks in the back yard…Now: I am no longer confident that [continued conformity of the majority to the behaviours needed to sustain our civilization] will continue…Seeing scenes of desperate youths in South American slums watching “Kill Bill” makes me think: this is just oxygen thrown into the fire… The ants will not play along much longer. The anthill will not survive if even a small fraction of the system is falling apart…

Couple that inane drive for “Super Individualism” with the scarily simple realization of how effective even a small set of desperate people can become… and you have an ugly picture of the long term future…So many curves that grow upwards towards limits, so many statistics that show increases and no way to turn around…While we look at the horizon, it is the very ground beneath us that may be crumbling.

Krause is almost apologetic about this “realistic pessimism”, but his point (that I completely missed in my earlier review of responses to the Edge question) is important, perhaps electrifying: Will civilization end, not with a bang but with a whimper, not by terrorist inferno or nuclear or bio-catastrophe or economic collapse, but when people just realize that the intricate software program that is civilization just doesn’t work for them anymore, and rather than fighting it, just walk away? What if en masse our grandchildren just refuse to accept any longer the grossly inequitable private ‘ownership’ of land and resources, or even the concept that humans or anyone owns the land and the life on it? What if, perhaps like many of the homeless people on our affluent nations’ streets today, billions conclude that participating in the horrifically skewed ‘market’ economy, in the broken, mind-numbing education system, in the dysfunctional and privileged political system, as consumers, as citizens, just isn’t worth the stress and effort anymore — that there’s just not enough in it for them?

Derrick Jensen talks about “the fear of not having enough” being the anchor that holds us, despite our doubts and misgivings, and its constant disappointments and failures, to this one, global, fragile civilization. What if, as they learn more and more about it, many in the affluent nations decide that that fear is no longer sufficient to keep them supporting an increasingly incompetent, haywire civilization, and, at the same time, many in the struggling nations decide that the never-ending promise of having enough, if they will just stick with civilization a little longer, is a fraud? Imagine an alliance of the informed and the disenfranchised, together, helping each other walk away from civilization, to stop acknowledging the legitimacy of its predatory, ruinous political elites, to stop acknowledging the legitimacy of laws that allow huge, irresponsible corporations to despoil the Earth and steal from the poor and from future generations and which allow the rich to get away with murder and the poor to get away with nothing, to stop acknowledging the value of an economic system that threatens us with starvation and scarcity if we don’t obey its soul-destroying rules of arbitrary hierarchy and wage slavery and which treats every person as a mere consumer to be addicted to the insatiable demand for more and newer stuff?

The software program of human civilization was written 30 millennia ago, when we were persuaded by the (then very real) fear of scarcity to trade in our freedom as gatherer-hunters for tedious, grueling lives as malnourished (‘better underfed than dead’) wage slaves stooped in uncooperative and fragile fields of monoculture grain. That program was modified only slightly when, in the most recent millennium, a minority were given back a small say in how their own lives were governed, and the right to ‘own’ a small amount of ‘property’ instead of being property themselves, and more recently still were given some machines to make some of the daily toil of their lives less physically exhausting. But the last century has shown this software to be subject to spectacular failures, and all the furious work to patch it seems merely to have made it more messy and vulnerable and inflexible, kind of like Windows, precisely when huge changes seem to be desperately needed. Is our civilization, this ‘proprietary’ software, the only program we still have available for our 6.5 billion humans, about to crash  – a global cultural analogue to the Blue Screen of Death? And, by walking away from civilization soon en masse, might our most informed and most disenfranchised be recognizing this impending crash and looking, hopefully in time, for another, ‘open source’ program, another way to live?

I’ve already described a bit what this ‘walking away’ would mean — the rejection of the legitimacy of, and refusal to recognize the authority of, existing political and economic and other systems, laws, rights and claims. Think of it as analogous to the seizure and occupation by its workers of a manufacturing plant previously run by tyrants. The laws giving the tyrants absolute ownership of the plant, and the right to the profits from it, and the right to hire and fire and treat ‘employees’ as they want, would no longer be recognized. The authority of the police to eject the workers would not be recognized, and would be resisted at all costs. The workers would treat the plant as shared property and do whatever they agreed communally to do with it — tear out the machines and make shared housing for their families, sell off or give away its ‘assets’, or operate it as a commons for the benefit of the workers. This is to some extent what happened in Argentina during the recent economic collapse.

Now imagine that several billion people agree and announce that they no longer recognize the laws, the rights, or the property of anyone, and consider that everything in the world is a shared resource. It has usually been much easier to walk away from civilizations that had become dysfunctional past the point of no return — there were ‘uninhabited’ frontiers, usually not too far away, where you could ‘restart’ (to continue the software analogy) the society. In fact there’s some interesting new speculation by anthropologists that the Great Wall of China was built not to keep out the ‘Mongol hordes’, but rather to keep in the suffering slaves of the Chinese empire working in horrific poverty and disease and misery in the rice paddies that were the hallmark of our civilization’s early days. To keep them from walking away.

We no longer have any habitable frontiers, despite the longing looks at outer space by the technophiles enraptured of the new religion of technology-as-saviour. So even if we were to decide to escape this bankrupt monolithic civilization culture while we could, where would we walk away to? How do you plan a prison break when the whole world is your prison? You can escape into alcohol, drugs, other addictions, mindless violence, insanity, abuse of others and other self-destructive behaviour, and there’s lots of evidence that that’s a pretty popular path these days. But the alternative is, while difficult, still quite simple:

  • Form small Intentional Communities of people and learn the essential life skills for community self-management and self-sufficiency.
  • Establish egalitarian, community-based ‘subsistence’, not-for-profit ‘Natural’ enterprises that provide one or more essentials of life (food, shelter, clothing, learning, recreation, communication, transportation). That requires re-learning how to provide those life essentials first, as few of us today have ever acquired these skills. Our culture has deliberately made most of what we learn in school useless, to keep us dependent on it.
  • Trade, without using currency, any surplus essentials produced by the community for those surplus essentials produced by other ‘Natural’ enterprises of other nearby Intentional Communities. Never let your community become dependent on such trade, and never buy the pretty trinkets or the dangerous, poisoned foods produced by corporations in civilization culture — they’ll only get you addicted to that culture again.
  • To the extent you need resources (especially land) that your Intentional Community does not have, follow the honourable tradition of the squatter — occupy and claim it, liberate it from those who see it as their right to ‘own’ (and to preclude others from accessing) property vastly in excess of what they need. This is the hard part, even harder than it was for the Argentine factory-workers (the plants they occupied in Argentina had been largely abandoned). It is the community-based equivalent of nationalization — returning the resources of the Earth to the Earth, to be equally shared by all. To do this will require a great deal of courage and passive resistance. It will be violently opposed by the rich and powerful, and by the sniveling lawyers and politicians and law-enforcers at their beck and call. But every act of liberation that is opposed by brutal violence will merely show more people the moral bankruptcy, unsustainability, inequity and dysfunction of civilization culture. There is a reason why the neocon corporatist ideologues are currently obsessed with trying to sell the concept of the Ownership Society. Just as they would have you believe that the Ponzi Scheme stock ‘market’ and housing ‘market’ are opportunities for everyone to participate in the obscene redistribution of wealth from poor to rich (but they will both crash soon, and it won’t be the rich who will suffer), they would now have you believe that the process of sticking ownership title on everything — every piece of intangible property, every idea, every seed that is planted, every new form of life — and charging rentals for every ‘use’ of such ‘property’, is something more than another rapacious grab by those with the power to patent and enforce such ownership from those without such power. It would be much easier if we could create another society without having to confront the oligopolies of power and ‘ownership’ over the Earth’s resources. But if it were easy it would have already been done. It is only when enough informed and disenfranchised people are ready to take this step, only when the fear of civilization’s Blue Screen of Death becomes greater than today’s fear of not having enough, that the trickle of those walking away will turn into a torrent. But at some point the coming depression, the end of oil, bioterrorism, desperate nuclear attacks from the growing ecological cesspools and deserts of horrifically overpopulated Asia, waves of epidemic disease attacking us and our fragile, undifferentiated global foods, will combine to push us to the other side of this equilibrium point. 
  • As civilization culture and its economic and political artifacts collapse (more due to their own unsustainability and the impact of the above crises than to the growing numbers opting out), we will find ourselves in a world of chaos that is analogous to what the Internet is today — a world of millions of (hopefully connected and Intentional rather than isolated and despotic) communities and millions of (hopefully Natural) community-based enterprises  that will be self-organizing and redistributing wealth and power much more equitably. It is then and only then that we will come face-to-face, like the hero at the end of 2001: A Space Odyssey, with the ultimate reality: the unsustainability of our human numbers. There is simply no way that our planet, under any system, can support and sustain 6.5 billion humans — even living a radically simpler lifestyle. There are not enough resources to go around, let alone enough to pass on to future generations. And by the time we reach this state, if past death tolls of wars and disease are any indication, we will not have just 6.5 billion people but somewhere between 9 and 14 billion people. Then what? Here is where I become an optimist. Most of the more complex creatures on this planet, when they appreciate instinctively and see personally evidence that their numbers are too great to be sustainable, quickly and automatically reduce their birth rate to restore their numbers to a sustainable level. We have ‘forgotten’ how to do this because we have been taught to ignore and suppress our instincts and because the evidence of our numbers’ unsustainability has been deliberately suppressed by the rich and powerful in their self-interest, so we do not see it. As soon as we see it — as soon as waves and waves of destitute people from ruined struggling nations come pounding on our doors telling us that they are squatting on, occupying and claiming the modest amount of land we had claimed for our subsistence Intentional Community, we will have to face the truth at last that there are not enough resources to go around. And we will stop breeding, instinctively and voluntarily, by community consensus, just as most other creatures on this planet do, until there are enough resources to go around comfortably.

Messy, eh? I’d love to lay out a scenario that was neater, cleaner, less bloody and less difficult, easier to sell, but that’s not how life works on this planet when one species gets wildly out of balance. We fool ourselves when we think that our software programming, our culture, makes us somehow exempt from the rules of nature, and the laws gravity and thermodynamics. We need to get past the “magical thinking” that there is a better, neater, more peaceful way out of our current situation, through the Rapture or technology or social self-transformation or escape to distant planets. We have managed to survive as well as we have since our relatively recent arrival on this planet because of our adaptability, and that is why I believe we will not just plunge headlong the way we are headed now, into the civilizational Blue Screen of Death. At some point we will bail out, messily, in something like the scenario I have laid out above. To me the only question mark is whether the last bullet will play out the way I suggest, or whether instead some set of natural and man-made disasters will sufficiently cull our numbers that we’ll avoid having to face and adjust to this final, grim reality. Looking at the death rates from the worst wars and plagues in the past, would suggest that these would not be enough to do the job for us. But perhaps I underestimate the ability of nature and of human technology to make this part of our job, at least, a little easier.

January 21, 2006

Links for the Week – Jan. 21/06

Filed under: How the World Really Works — Dave Pollard @ 15:34
foxes
Because of my back injury, I’ve been negligent in my reading this week. Thankfully others have not, and I owe almost all of this week’s links to the diligence of Dale Asberry (‘DA’ in the following paragraphs) and John & Suzanne’s Innovation Weekly (‘IW’ in the following paragraphs). The power of social networks! Thanks!

Monday’s Election in Canada:

  • The CBC has written an excellent piece on the (lack of) election coverage on environmental issues and the dire implications of a predicted Conservative victory on Canada’s environment and on the Kyoto Protocol. Thanks to the CBC’s Ira Basen for the link. 
  • Also, Henry Morgentaler, who almost single-handedly has brought about abortion rights for Canadian women in smaller and more conservative communities across the country, has urged Canadians not to vote Conservative  Despite Harper’s assurances that rights will not be significantly curtailed, many of his candidates are rabidly anti-abortion and have made no secret of their desire to roll back the clock on this and other social issues. 
  • Last chance to think twice, Canada. From the look of the polls, however, it looks as if many Canadians won’t do so.

US Politics & Economics:

Science & Technology:

  • ButterflyNet software transcribes handwritten journals and other scientific documents and notations into digital form, and allows links and photos to be embedded later, saving the tedious process of manual transcription (IW). 
  • Translator Jesse Browner reviews the state of the art (still pretty rudimentary) of language translation software (IW). 
  • John Markoff at the NYT reviews the state of the art (coming along quickly) of long-promised PC/TV convergence (IW). 
  • And Pravda reports that not only does it make you feel better, sex prevents you getting sick in the first place (DA).

Business Innovation:

  • Entrepreneur Magazine lists the hottest business trends in food service, security, home tech and home improvement, business-to-business services, products for children, and cross-industry trends — lots of food for thought in this exhaustive article (IW).  
  • David Gammel has written a great Wikipedia entry on ‘unconferences‘, self-managed and self-organized meetings.

Photos of red foxes taken recently by a neighbour, Sandra Traversy, published in our local newspaper. The foxes are residents of our community, about 2.5 feet long excluding their tails and 1.5 feet tall, weighing only about 10-20 lbs and traveling, mostly nocturnally, at speeds of up to 30 mph. In some ways they behave more like wildcats than wolves, trapping rather than running down their prey (largely field mice in our area), and working alone or in pairs rather than in packs.

January 20, 2006

What Makes a People Commit Mass Atrocities?

Filed under: How the World Really Works — Dave Pollard @ 14:04
blooddiamonds
Over my lifetime I have heard many explanations of why so many Germans were complicit in the atrocities committed during World War II. None of them is credible. Early accounts, during my youth, asserted that the Germans were either duped or unaware of what was happening, and that all the atrocities were committed by a small group of psychopathic leaders. This theory is absurd — no leaders could possibly pull off such a deception of their own people. More recent accounts would have us believe that Germans had been systematically indoctrinated for decades with anti-Semitism and xenophobia, to the point that, like North American slave owners a century earlier, and male patriarchs in most of the Western world a century before that, they couldn’t conceive of these ‘others’ being ‘real’ people at all, entitled to treatment as civilized humans, as peers. Or they would have us believe that the German people, reeling under the collective shame of military failure twenty years earlier and suffering from the terrifying, seemingly endless poverty and misery of the Great Depression, were so overcome with Nazism’s generous sharing of the plunders of foreign imperialism and war, and so terrified by a world seemingly coming apart, that they willingly, gleefully accepted the genocidal consequences of this liberation from poverty, hopelessness, shame and fear.

In the last century we saw atrocities committed in even greater numbers by Stalin and Mao in their own countries, resulting in the murder, often under unimaginably cruel circumstances, of 60 million and 80 million people respectively. Go back earlier in history and such atrocities will be found everywhere on the planet. Go forward and the two most extreme examples of the past decade — in the Balkan states of the former Yugoslavia and in Rwanda — make clear that this is not something that civilized societies outgrow.

In every case there either was obviously (as in Rwanda) or must have been extremely broad acceptance of and complicity in systematic mass murder or genocide, in the ruthless killing of ‘other’ people to the point of extermination. In almost every case mass murder seems to be the product of desperation, of a mass psychosis brought about by the stress of fear, shame, suffering and poverty, sufficient to drive most people to overcome the universal human instinct not to kill a fellow human, to accept any vaguely plausible rationale to turn on each other and shed blood.

Once this desperation starts to set in, other psychotic behaviours follow. The first and most obvious of these is denial — which comes in two ‘flavours’: (a) it’s not really that bad, and (b) there is no choice, they’re only doing what’s necessary. Once the psychotic begins to understand that his fellow citizens, and his ‘leaders’, are engaging in immoral and illegal behaviour, denial in one or both of these forms is almost inevitable: it is the only way that the actions can be ‘justified’, rationalized, made sense of.

The second of these subsequent psychotic behaviours is willing helplessness and ignorance, which again comes in two ‘flavours’: (a) I don’t know about that (code for I don’t want to know about that), and (b) there’s nothing we can do about that (it’s not our fault/responsibility/within our control).

Most of us really know, though we don’t really want to know and don’t want to admit it, that much of the food we eat today comes at a cost of almost unbearable, lifelong confinement and suffering of the animals whose ‘products’ we eat. When animal rights groups point that out, a howling and predictable chorus of It’s not really that bad, There is no other (economic) choice, I don’t know about that and There’s nothing we can do about that immediately ensues.

When mounting, nearly-unanimous and compelling evidence is presented by hundreds of Nobel Prize-winning scientists that human activity is altering our climate and producing potentially cataclysmic consequences, the well-paid Lomborgs and other corporatist shills encourage us with their fake science that It’s not really that bad, There is no other (economic) choice, We don’t know about that and There’s nothing we can do about that.

When the US president suspends human liberties for Arab minorities and the politically tolerant and progressive elements of US society, destroys and occupies a defenceless country and kills tens of thousands of its citizens on a trumped-up charge against its former dictator, and illegally wiretaps the conversations of ordinary Americans, the chorus goes up again: It’s not really that bad (or even ‘mission accomplished’), There is no other choice, We don’t know about that (plausible deniability, now a high art among politicians) and There’s nothing we (mere citizens, Democrats, law-abiding, freedom-loving people) can do about that.

None of this would occur in a healthy world. All that is needed, however, is a widespread sense of fear, shame, suffering and poverty to induce the mass psychosis. Fear comes about when sudden and unappreciated change is foisted upon us: When our daughter comes home hand in hand with someone from another culture, race, or gender than the one we are comfortable with. When we realize that information and technology are so accessible that anyone could kill us or ruin our lives with a gun, a suicide bomb, a disease of overcrowded poultry, a drug, a penis, a home invasion (by legal authorities or strangers), tainted food or water, a nuclear or chemical or biological weapon cooked up in their basement. Or when a small group of spoiled rich lunatics brings down a couple of buildings by crashing airplanes into them.

Shame is also in no short supply in our civilization. Ask any German. Ask Romeo Dallaire. Ask yourself, when you cringe and change the station when the commercials and documentaries about the state of the world just outside your door come on, begging you, daring you to look and learn. I can almost hear you, whispering: It’s not really that bad, There is no other (economic) choice, I don’t know about that, There’s nothing we can do about that.

As for suffering and poverty, you don’t need to go to Darfur to find it. Many of your neighbours are undoubtedly suffering the trauma of spousal or child abuse, or poverty they are ashamed to admit to (because in its self-deceit our society would have us believe poverty is our own fault), or otherwise in endless physical, emotional or psychological anguish. It’s not really that bad, not in my neighbourhood.

Like rats in a cruel experiment of forced overcrowding and scarcity, we are perpetually ripe for the mass psychosis that is the very hallmark of our beloved civilization. And as long as we remain in denial, as long as we keep telling ourselves the madman’s mantra — It’s not really that bad, There is no other choice, I don’t know about that, There’s nothing we can do about that. — it will only get worse.

Wait until the End of Oil, when the ability to endlessly steal our children’s legacy of resources runs out and industrial and agricultural production grinds to a halt. Wait until the Mideast suddenly has no revenue to provide even the necessities of life to its quarter of a billion people living on devastated land that can, without oil, support no one. Wait until China runs out of food (its breadbasket is rapidly turning to desert) and water (its water table is dropping by eight feet a year and most of its ‘fresh’ water is poisoned by chemicals, fertilizers and waste), and a bankrupt US can no longer afford to buy its pathetic products. Wait until its one and a half billion people, with nuclear and biological weapons, become as desperate as Germany was in the 1930s. Ladies and gentlemen, you thought the 20th century was bad for mass atrocities, you ain’t seen nothing yet.

January 19, 2006

Customer-Driven Innovation for Public Sector Organizations

Filed under: Working Smarter — Dave Pollard @ 14:25
InnovOppsMapPSO.jpg
Last Sunday I presented my Innovation Opportunities Map, and described the process we have recently been using with an entrepreneurial client using this map to help them become a much more innovative company. Several readers have asked me how this process would change if the client were a Public Sector Organization (PSO) — either a governmental or non-governmental not-for-profit organization focused on the provision of public services (education, health care, social services, advocacy etc.). I’ve given this some thought, and I came up with a revised Innovation Opportunities Map for PSOs, above.

The principal differences between this map and the one for private sector companies are:

  • Some of the mega-processes for PSOs, while analogous, are modestly different: PSOs generally have New Program Development instead of R&D, Program Awareness and Access instead of Sales & Marketing, and Program Implementation instead of Production.
  • The ‘business’ of most PSOs is the delivery of services, through programs and deployment of information, tools and technologies, to those in need, rather than the sale of products to those who can afford them.
  • Because of the close interface with customers (students, patients, and citizens) that most PSOs enjoy, there is even more opportunity for, and even more reliance on, the use of cultural anthropology to identify customers’ needs than there is in for-profit organizations (new innovation type A8 on the chart).
  • Because PSOs are often networked with other PSOs providing similar programs and services in other jurisdictions around the world, an additional innovation opportunity arises from sharing successes and failures and otherwise collaborating with other PSOs (new innovation type B9 on the chart).
  • Unlike for-profit organizations, PSOs can employ volunteers both for customer outreach activities (new innovation type C3 on the chart) and to supply time and other resources to the PSO (amended innovation type D4 on the chart).
  • Because of the personal nature of many PSO services (like education and health care) there are opportunities for PSOs to deploy some of their services and programs directly to (and in) customers’ homes, instead of or in addition to using external facilities (amended innovation type E2 on the chart)
  • Because the services they provide are so essential and continuous, there are expanded opportunities for PSOs to forge innovative partnerships with customers to provide extended life cycle services (e.g. continuous education, chronic care, recurring monthly service visits) in ways not usually available to companies selling one-off products (new innovation type H4 on the chart)
  • Some innovation opportunities (e.g. vertical integration, new market creation) open to for-profit companies are generally not available or not applicable to PSOs as these are normally beyond their scope or mandate (omitted innovation types B1, B3, B4, C1, H2, J1, J4, listed on the for-profit chart, from this chart

While the mega-processes and innovation opportunities for PSOs are slightly different from those of for-profit companies, the process I would use to help a PSO assess these opportunities would be essentially the same that we have used with our private sector entrepreneur:

  1. Help the organization understand the urgency for, and set criteria for assessing, innovations, and create a cross-functional Innovation Team.
  2. Help them learn, through research, training sessions and by visiting highly innovative PSOs, what organizational innovation really is, how it helps organizations meet their customers’ needs sustainably and effectively, and the process the Team will use to make the organization more innovative.
  3. Help them understand, through comparative analysis and benchmarking, and through ‘cultural anthropology’ visits with selected customers, how customers experience the organization’s programs and services, what those customers’ needs are, and what needs are currently not being met.
  4. Drawing on steps 2 and 3, create a database of Learnings and Ideas.
  5. Using the Learnings and Ideas in the database, the Innovation Opportunities Map, and an intensive process that draws on both the creative and the critical thinking skills of the entire Innovation Team, and team-members’ program knowledge, service knowledge and customer knowledge, identify Innovation Opportunities that the organization could deploy to improve customer satisfaction and hence improve organizational effectiveness.
  6. Aggregate these Innovation Opportunities into a series of Innovative Offerings, and tell a Vision or Story about how each Offering would be experienced from the customer’s perspective. For each Offering, identify:
  • A ten-word Name for the Innovative Offering.
  • A Tagline and/or statement of the Value Proposition (“how is this different from and more valuable than what the organization offers now?”) for the Offering.
  • A listing of which of the identified Innovation Opportunities this Offering aggregates, listed in order by innovation type (A1 through J7) using the Innovation Opportunities Map above.
  • A 200-500 word Story, told from the perspective of the customer in the future, explaining how the customer experience will have changed as a result of implementing the Innovative Offering.
  • A list of New Capabilities the organization would need to acquire in order to provide the Innovative Offering.
  • A Strategy Canvas  showing the different attributes, effectiveness and strengths of the organization’s programs and services both before and after implementing the Innovative Offering. Although the strategy canvas was designed for competitive analysis purposes, there is no reason why PSOs cannot use them to assess improvements to organizational effectiveness that innovative offerings could realize. Effectiveness criteria might include: value-for-money, quality and timeliness of service, customer awareness, customer satisfaction, employee satisfaction and retention etc. both ‘before’ and ‘after’ the innovation has been implemented, and perhaps also against expectations or benchmarks of the organization’s board.
  1. Assess the pros and cons of the different Innovative Offerings against the criteria established in step 1. Evaluate the feasibility, fit with the organization’s mandate etc. of each Offering, and, for those deemed feasible, test them using small-scale experiments and pilot programs with selected customers. Reassess/tweak offerings based on tests and pilots and, for those that are successful, scale up to full implementation across the organization. [This is a bit of an oversimplification -- we actually recommend a fairly sophisticated and rigorous, but forgiving, 'stage-gating' process to move Offerings through to successful implementation; I'll describe this further in a future article].

My partners and I would, of course, be pleased to help facilitate your organization, for-profit or not, through this process, or, if you’re a consultant yourself, co-facilitate the process with you for your client. If your client is still skeptical, buy them a copy of Blue Ocean Strategy or The Innovator’s Solution and let them read for themselves about the power of innovation, and why so many organizations just aren’t able to generate significant innovation without outside help.

January 18, 2006

Who Needs Your Gift Now?

Filed under: Working Smarter — Dave Pollard @ 11:32
WhatToDo(I’ve had a recurrence of last fall’s back injury, and sitting at the computer brings on spasms — perhaps it is telling me something? — so until that improves this blog’s articles are likely to be short, and hopefully sweet. — Dave)

Two great inspirations in my life recently, Dick Richards’ book Is Your Genius at Work? and David Smith’s book To Be Of Use, have produced a third inspiration that lies at the intersection of Dick’s idea of finding your genius, your specific gift, and Dave’s idea of finding meaning in your work through service to others in need. The inspiration is a simple question:

Who Needs Your Gift Now?

Perhaps this is a simpler and more elegant way of suggesting we each need to find or create the job where What We Do Well, What is Needed and What We Love Doing overlap. This, however, would seem to downplay the idea of Following Your Passion, which many self-help books recommend.

Or does it? Is it really unduly idealistic or spiritualistic to think that your gift is more than likely to have emerged, presented itself to you, or evolved with activities that you enjoy, in such a way that this gift is also something you love doing? It seems to me more likely that you wouldn’t yet have discovered, even well on in your life, what your genius or passion or purpose is (because the opportunity to discover them has never arisen — most of us live in affluent nations live remarkably narrow, sheltered lives), than that your genius and your passion lie in significantly different directions.

So rather than starting by searching for or creating that perfect job, that fulfills our passion the way the one we are doing now can never hope to do, perhaps we should instead set ourselves the simpler task of asking ourselves the question Who Needs Our Gift Now?, and then follow where the answer to that question takes us.

January 17, 2006

The Economics of Communication and Effective Learning

Filed under: Using Weblogs and Technology — Dave Pollard @ 11:35
A couple of years ago I introduced a ‘decision tree’ on which communications medium to use for which purposes. Since then I’ve concluded that the decision is more complex, and more often than not involves some cost-benefit trade-offs. Also, I recently had a discussion with my Toronto KM “Breakfast at Flo’s” group on structured versus unstructured information and on the challenges of indexing and searching non-textual information.

We talked about a wide variety of different formats for communications, in written, audio, video and live media. The following table is my interpretation of the consensus that emerged. The cost and impact/value of each format is subjective, and relative — feel free to copy and edit the table if you don’t agree.

Those formats that we seem to find have the highest value are shaded in light green: The value of books is supported by the fact that, with all the information available on-line, we’re still prepared to pay real money for them. The impact of photos, charts and similar visualizations compared to straight text is indisputable. Structured information, in the form of policy manuals and standard operating procedures, catalogues, directories, tables (like the one below) and spreadsheets must be valuable or businesses wouldn’t spend so much time producing and maintaining them. Conversations, dramatizations and stories in all media have been preferred modes of communications since before the dawn of civilization. And live demos and on-the-job training (“don’t tell me, show me”) are our preferred means of learning.

The formats that seem to provide impact or value disproportional to their cost are highlighted in the rightmost ‘cost/benefit’ column in dark green: E-mail, photographs and charts, live and recorded conversations and stories are overwhelmingly the way in which knowledge is transferred from person to person in business and society as a whole, because their value is so compelling.

On the other hand, some formats whose cost is disproportional to their impact or value (highlighted in red in the rightmost column) are quickly falling from favour: newspaper articles and radio and TV news are losing audience to blogs, and business reports are losing prevalence, being replaced by interactive oral presentations incorporating single frames and other visualizations. And lectures and bums-on-chairs powerpoint presentations are losing favour to more interactive, participatory, experiential forms of learning. Radio programs and even podcasts are valuable principally because of their convenience to those on-the-go — otherwise an audio recording of someone talking has little to recommend it over an online text transcription of the recording, which is easier and faster to browse and more suitable for search engines to spider.

I understand that there are now voice-recognition software ‘bots’ that can ‘read’ and full-text index audio and video recordings with over 80% accuracy. But the indexing challenges remain: how do you put ‘placeholders’ in multimedia streams so that readers can hear/view only the section with the search keywords, in such a way that the context of the surrounding discussion isn’t entirely lost? And what do you do when the real value of the audio or video isn’t in the words themselves, but in the interaction, the images, the media integration itself? As bandwidth cost approaches zero, how much longer will we be satisfied essentially limiting our searches to the written word?

Medium Format Examples Cost Impact
/Value
Searchable by C/
B
Written Notes PowerPoint Deck L L full text
Written Report Newspaper Article M L full text
Written Report Blog Article L L full text
Written Report Story M M full text
Written Report Business Report H M full text
Written Report Book – Fiction H H full text
Written Report Book – Non-Fiction H M-H full text
Written Report Wiki M M full text
Written Q&A Interview, FAQ M M full text
Written Conversation Discussion Forum, Chat L L full text
Written Conversation E-mail L M full text
Written Visualization Photo, Chart, Mindmap,
Single Frame
M H title only
Written Structured Info:
Instructions/Regs
Template, Decision Tree,
Form, S.O.P., Policy Manual
H H in context,
within application
Written Structured Info:
Directories
Catalogue, Contact List,
Address Book
H H full text
Written Structured Info:
Databases
Table, Spreadsheet,
Relational DB, List
H H full text
Audio
Recording
Report Recorded Lecture, 
Radio News, Podcast
M L* title only** *
Audio
Recording
Report Recorded Story/
Documentary
M H title only**
Audio
Recording
Q&A Recorded Interview M M title only**
Audio
Recording
Conversation Recorded Skype
Conversation (BHC)***
L M-H title only**
Audio
Recording
Conversation Recorded Teleconference M M-H title only**
Video
Recording
Report Video Lecture, Vlogcast M-H L title only**
Video
Recording
Report Video Newscast H M title only**
Video
Recording
Report Video Documentary/
Dramatization
H H title only**
Video
Recording
Q&A Video Interview H M title only**
Video
Recording
Conversation Taped Videoconference M-H M-H title only**
Live Report Live Lecture/Presentation M L-M not searchable
Live Report Live Newscast/Podcast/
Vlogcast
M-H M not searchable
Live Report Live Storytelling M H not searchable
Live Report Live Theatre H H not searchable
Live Q&A Live Interview/Debate M M not searchable
Live Conversation Live Skype Conversation L M-H not searchable
Live Conversation Live Teleconference M M-H not searchable
Live Conversation Live Videoconference M-H M-H not searchable
Live Conversation Live Face-to-Face
Conversation
M-H H not searchable
Live Structured Info:
Instructions/Regs
Live Demo/
On-the-Job Training
M-H H not searchable


Notes:
     * for commuters, the ability to listen to this while traveling increases impact/value to M
   ** if the content is transcribed, a full text search of the transcribed text can be searched
 *** Blog-Hosted Conversations: planned, edited conversations on a particular topic hosted by and transcribed
         on a blog or website (my prediction for the next big thing in the blogosphere)

My take-away from all this is these five Principles of Human Learning Preferences:

  1. People like information conveyed through conversations and stories because the interactivity and detail gives them context, not just content, and does so economically.
  2. People hate talking heads, and are increasingly intolerant of them.
  3. People no longer have the opportunity for serendipitous learning and discovery — everything they read and learn is narrow, focused, bounded, and the tools they are given in their reading and research reinforce this blinkered approach to learning. The consequence is the intellectual equivalent of not eating a balanced diet — a malnourished mind.
  4. People do not know how to do research, or even search, effectively. They think these two things are the same, which they are not, and they have never been trained to do either properly. It’s a good thing the search engines are so smart, because our use of them is mostly dumb.
  5. People search as a last resort. They prefer to ask a real person for what they want to learn or discover, because it’s faster and the answer is more context-specific. And if there is a single good browsable resource on their subject of interest, readily at hand, and they have the time, they will usually prefer to browse that resource rather than looking at a bunch of disconnected, often irrelevant, search engine matches.

January 16, 2006

This Blog’s Readers May Be Liberal But Their Forecasts Are Conservative

Filed under: How the World Really Works — Dave Pollard @ 03:54
crystalballA total of 25 responses were received by the deadline last Friday to my challenge to predict what will happen in 2006. There were only 8 responses to the supplementary questions about Canada, open only to Canadians.

Here are the questions and, in bold, the median answers of respondents. In cases where answers are not numeric, the most popular answer is noted in bold.

US and World Events:

  1. What will the S&P 500 stock index close at on the last day of trading in 2006 (it’s currently at 1271): (a) under 700, (b) 700-1000, (c) 1000-1300, (d) 1300-1600, (e) 1600-1800, (f) over 1800. — (c) 1200
  2. What will the NASDAQ stock index close at on the last day of trading in 2006 (it’s currently at 2274 and on a tear): (a) under 1500, (b) 1500-1900, (c) 1900-2300, (d) 2300-2700, (e) 2700-3000, (f) over 3000. — (c) 2250
  3. What will the 12-month change in the average US housing prices be at September 30, 2006 (using the OFHEO ‘purchase only’ data) (as at September 30, 2005 it was +10.95%): (a) decline of more than 20%, (b) decline of 10-20%, (c) decline of 0-10%, (d) increase of 0-5%, (e) increase of 5-10%, (f) increase of more than 10%. — (c) decline of 1%
  4. What will the US national debt be at the last reported date of 2006 per the US Treasury Dept. (at the end of 2005 it was $8.2 trillion, up almost 10% from a year earlier): (a) less than $8 trillion, (b) $8-8.5 trillion, (c) $8.5-9 trillion, (d) $9-9.5 trillion, (e) $9.5-10 trillion, (f) over $10 trillion. — (d) $9.2 trillion
  5. What will the annualized US trade deficit be as at the end of October 2006 per the Census Bureau (as at October 2005 it was $718 billion, up about 25% over the previous year’s deficit, pushing the accumulated deficit up over $9 trillion): (a) less than $600 billion, (b) $600-700 billion, (c) $700-800 billion, (d) $800-900 billion, (e) $900 billion to $1 trillion, (f) over $1 trillion. — (d) $840 billion
  6. What will the US average 15-year new mortgage rate be at the end of 2006 per Bloomberg (at the end of 2005 it was 5.25%, up from 4.76% a year earlier): (a) less than 5%, (b) 5-5.5%, (c) 5.5-6%, (d) 6-8%, (e) 8-10%, (f) over 10%. — (c) 5.9% 
  7. What will the US (CPI) inflation rate be for 2006 (the rate for 2005 was 3.4%): (a) negative, (b) 0-2%, (c) 2-4%, (d) 4-6%, (e) 6-10%, (f) over 10%. — (d) 4.3%
  8. What will be the value of the Real Broad Dollar Index of the US dollar versus other major currencies per the Fed at the end of 2006 (the rate at the end of 2005 was 110.8, down from 113.6 a year earlier and 126.7 in 2002): (a) less than 90, (b) 90-100, (c) 100-105, (d) 105-110, (e) 110-115, (f) over 115. — (d) 106
  9. How many US Senate seats will the Republicans hold after the 2006 mid-term elections (they currently hold 55, and 33 seats will be contested, about equally split between the two parties): (a) fewer than 48, (b) 48-50, (c) 51-53, (d) 54-56, (e) 57-59, (f) 60 or more. — (b) & (c) 51
  10. What will be the status of the Bush/Cheney presidency at the end of 2006: (a) both intact, (b) Cheney resigned or impeached, (c) Bush, or both Bush & Cheney, resigned or impeached, (d) grand jury appointed to look at impeachable offenses but still in progress, (e) letters of impeachment drawn up but not yet exercised. — (a) both intact
  11. What will be the status of Blair at the end of 2006: (a) still in power, (b) declared intention to resign, (c) resigned or removed from office. – (a) still in power
  12. What impact will natural disasters (hurricanes, tsunamis, volcanic eruptions, earthquakes, melting of the icecap etc.) have on our lives in 2006 by most accounts: (a) significantly less than 2005, (b) comparable to 2005, (c) significantly greater than 2005. — (a) significantly less than 2005
  13. Which of these countries will sign the Kyoto accord in 2006: (a) China, (b) the US, (c) both, (d) neither. — (d) neither
  14. What impact will influenza and other lethal viruses have on our lives in 2006: (a) a lull, with significantly less mention than in 2005, (b) continued sporadic outbreaks of concern, (c) local epidemics raising the global influenza death toll to over one million (twice the ‘normal’ rate), (d) a global pandemic killing more than ten million people. — (b) continued sporadic
  15. What impact will nuclear weapons threats have on our lives in 2006: (a) localized threats from Iran, Israel and/or North Korea, (b) significant threats to use nuclear weapons from additional countries, (c) actual detonation of one or more nuclear weapons as a hostile act rather than just a ‘test’. — (a) localized threats only
  16. What impact will biological and chemical weapons (or the blowing up of sites containing lethal chemical or biological substances) have on our lives in 2006: (a) nothing more than a few scares, (b) deliberate use of such weapons with 10 to 1000 fatalities, (c) deliberate use of such weapons by a group or nation with more than 1000 fatalities. — (a) nothing more than a few scares
  17. What will light crude futures be priced at at the end of 2006 (they are currently about $63/barrel, up 40% from a year earlier): (a) under $50/barrel, (b) $50-60/barrel, (c) $60-70/barrel, (d) $70-80/barrel, (e) $80-100/barrel, (f) over $100/barrel. — (d) $71
  18. Which of the following will occur in 2006: (a) Chavez will be overthrown in Venezuela, (b) Putin will be overthrown in Russia, (c) both, (d) neither. — (d) neither
  19. The most severe famine of 2006 (killing at least one million people) will occur in (a) East Africa, (b) Central or West Africa, (c) China, (d) elsewhere in Asia, (e) there will be no famine that bad. — (e) no famine that bad
  20. What will Bush do regarding Iran in 2006: (a) invade, (b) sporadic incursions, no-fly zones and similar ‘limited’ military action, (c) embargo or other economic action only, (d) just threats and demands. — (b) sporadic incursions only

Canadian Events: (Canadian respondents only)

  1. In the January 2006 election, how many seats will the Liberals win: (a) fewer than 90, (b) 90-99, (c) 100-109, (d) 110-114, (e) 115-120, (f) more than 120. — (f) 121
  2. In the January 2006 election, how many seats will the Conservatives win: (a) fewer than 90, (b) 90-99, (c) 100-109, (d) 110-114, (e) 115-120, (f) more than 120. – (c) 109
  3. In the January 2006 election, how many seats will the NDP win: (a) fewer than 10, (b) 10-14, (c) 15-19, (d) 20-24, (e) 25-29, (f) more than 29. — (c) 19
  4. In the January 2006 election, how many seats will the Bloq win: (a) fewer than 50, (b) 50-54, (c) 55-59, (d) 60-64, (e) 65-69, (f) more than 69. — (b) & (c) 55
  5. Who will win the Stanley Cup in 2006: (a) Ottawa, (b) another Canada-based team, (c) Detroit, (d) another US-based team in the Western Conference, (e) a US-based team in the Eastern Conference. — (a) Ottawa
  6. Which Canadian party leaders will still be party leaders at the end of 2006: (a) Martin, (b) Harper, (c) both, (d) neither. — (c) both
  7. When will the next Canadian election be after the one in January: (a) before the end of June 2006, (b) in the latter half of 2006, (c) date set for 2007 by the end of 2006, (d) not scheduled by the end of 2006. — (d) 2007
  8. Will Canada suffer a significant terrorist attack (scale of the London subway bombings or greater) during 2006: (a) yes, (b) no. — (b) no
  9. What will be the status of Quebec at the end of 2006: (a) referendum held, majority voted to separate, (b) referendum held, majority voted not to separate, (c) referendum scheduled but not yet held, (d) no referendum scheduled or held, but significant powers transferred to Quebec and other provinces by federal government, (e) none of the above. — (e) none of the above
  10. What will the value of the Canadian dollar be relative to the US dollar at the end of 2006 (it is currently at 86 cents): (a) below 80 cents, (b) 80-84 cents, (c) 84-88 cents, (d) 88-92 cents, (e) 92-96 cents, (f) over 96 cents. – (d) 88 cents
  11. What will be the status of Canada-US relations at the end of the year: (a) Canada or US has withdrawn from NAFTA, (b) Bush recognizes NAFTA court verdicts and repays illegal duties to Canada, improving relations, (c) Canadian litigation against US remains unresolved, relations remain sour, (d) federal government drops actions against US, and agrees to send Canadian troops to Iraq/Iran, (e) federal government drops actions against US, but does not agree to send Canadian troops to Iraq/Iran. — (c) still sour
  12. What will the TSX stock index close at on the last day of trading in 2006 (it’s currently at 11500 and on a tear): (a) under 9000, (b) 9000-10000, (c) 10000-11000, (d) 11000-12000, (e) 12000-14000, (f) over 14000. — (e) 12500

The overwhelming sense one gets from these answers is that most people think 2006 will be very much like 2005, with a continuation or a slight slowing of last year’s trends.

I had not promised to offer a prize for the most accurate predictor unless I got 50 responses, but I will offer a prize, in January next year, to the person who had the most correct answers to the US and World Events questions. There weren’t enough responses to the Canadian Events questions to offer a prize in that category.

The responses from Canadians mostly came after polls showed a surge in Conservative support, so I am surprised these responses still forecast a Liberal minority government. I hope they’re right. A projection of latest poll results suggests the Conservatives will get thirty seats more than our predictors forecast, almost enough for a majority, but still dependent on the separatist Bloc to stay in power.

Since I’m not eligible to win, I’ll go on record here with my predictions, as of the day I posted the poll (if you asked me again today I’d reverse my answers to Canadian questions 1. & 2.):

US & World Events: 1. (b) 950; 2. (c) 1950; 3. (b) decline of 10%; 4. (d) $9.1 trillion; 5. (e) $920 billion; 6. (e) 9.25%; 7. (d) 5.25%; 8. (b) 92; 9. (b) 50; 10. (a); 11. (b); 12. (b); 13. (d); 14. (b); 15. (b) Pakistan; 16. (b); 17. (d) $78; 18. (a) CIA will overthrow Chavez; 19 (a); 20 (b).

Canadian Events: 1. (e) 116; 2. (c) 108; 3. (c) 18; 4. (c) 66; 5. (a); 6. (d); 7. (b); 8. (b); 9. (c); 10. (d) 90 cents; 11. (c); 12. (b) 9500.

From time to time during the year I’ll report on how ‘the wisdom of crowds’ is faring, and how my guesses stack up by comparison.

January 15, 2006

More on Customer-Driven Innovation

Filed under: Working Smarter — Dave Pollard @ 14:31
InnovOppsMap2.jpg
Last month I introduced the Innovation Opportunities Map, an improved version of which is shown above. We have recently been working with an entrepreneurial client using this approach to innovation, drawing on Clay Christensen’s work and also on the ideas in Blue Ocean Strategy. We are now on to the next stage of this project, and it’s turning into quite an interesting story.

Our client is quite adamant that the innovations they seek to implement must be highly visible to their customers, so we have been focusing attention on the R&D, Sales & Marketing, Customer Relationship, Product/Service Delivery and Life-Cycle Management megaprocesses shown on the above chart — the five megaprocesses most directly visible to customers. In order to enhance our client’s (and our) understanding of customers’ needs and wants, we have used cultural anthropology extensively on this assignment, and our client is quite delighted with the value of having a cross-sectional team of its people systematically visiting customers, observing the use of their products, and interviewing customers about their perceptions, ideas, needs and wants.

The outcome of these ‘visits’, aside from a much better understanding of their customers’ businesses, and of the joys and frustrations customers experience using our client’s (and their competitors’) products, has been a large database of Learnings and Ideas. To oversimplify a bit, here is the process they have employed to date:

  1. Understand the urgency for, and set criteria for assessing, business innovations for the company, and create a cross-functional Innovation Team.
  2. Learn, through research, training sessions and by visiting highly innovative companies, what business innovation really is, how it helps companies compete sustainably and profitably in their marketplace, and the process the Team will use to make the company more innovative.
  3. Understand, through competitive intelligence and through ‘cultural anthropology’ visits to selected customers, how customers experience the company’s (and competitors’) products and services, what drives those customers’ buying decisions, and what ‘keeps them awake at night’.
  4. Drawing on steps 2 and 3, create a database of Learnings and Ideas.

The next two steps, now in progress, are:

  1. Using the Learnings and Ideas in the database, the Innovation Opportunities Map, and an intensive process that draws on both the creative and the critical thinking skills of the entire Innovation Team, and their business knowledge, identify Innovation Opportunities that the company could deploy to improve customer satisfaction and hence improve company revenues, profitability and competitive position.
  2. Aggregate these Innovation Opportunities into a series of Innovative Offerings, and tell a Vision or Story about how each Offering would be experienced from the customer’s perspective.

Our client has distilled hundreds of Learnings and Ideas down into about three dozen Innovation Opportunities, and has now begun aggregating these into Innovative Offerings using the following six-part template:

  • A ten-word Name for the Innovative Offering.
  • A Tagline and/or statement of the Value Proposition (“how is this different from and more valuable than what the company and competitors offer now?”) for the Offering.
  • A listing of which of the identified Innovation Opportunities this Offering aggregates, listed in order by innovation type (A1 through J7) using the Innovation Opportunities Map above.
  • A 200-500 word Story, told from the perspective of the customer in the future, explaining how the customer experience will have changed as a result of implementing the Innovative Offering.
  • A list of New Capabilities the company would need to acquire in order to provide the Innovative Offering.
  • A Strategy Canvas (see example below, for a different industry than our client’s) showing the different strategies and strengths of the company both before and after implementing the Innovative Offering, and contrasting them with those of the company’s major competitors.

strategycanvas

The Innovation Team is now beginning the process of debating the pros and cons of the different Innovative Offerings the team members have come up with. The plan is that those Offerings that they consider most promising (using the set of criteria established in step 1) will then be evaluated by senior management to evaluate their feasibility, strategic fit etc., and will then be tested using small-scale experiments with selected customers. Only once the Offerings have passed all these hurdles will they be implemented full-scale.

Some of the Offerings the team has come up with are quite awesome. They show the power of combining a deep knowledge of customer needs, ‘space’ for creativity and observation, a disciplined assessment process and the ‘wisdom of crowds’. We may just be on to the perfect recipe for entrepreneurial innovation. Stay tuned!

January 14, 2006

Links for the Week – Jan.14/06

Filed under: Preparing for Civilization's End — Dave Pollard @ 13:29
tajikistan
A long list this week, on four subjects, so I’ll try to keep the natter short:

Poverty

Photoblogger Opens the Lens on Tajikistan: A remarkable blog, Tajikistan Travels, presents an astonishing portrayal of life in the destitute former Soviet republic of Tajikistan. Author Steven Buckley writes the following to accompany the photo above:

Nikolai Valentinov, 70 was in World War 2 and was employed on the Chernobyl clean-up operation. He now lives here with his wife Lapina. Due to severe cataracts he is virtually blind and is unable to claim the meagre pension (US$7 a month) to which he is entitled as his documents were stolen. Due to various factors and inability of the state to intervene, they live in a situation of downward spiralling poverty.

Poverty News in One Place: A new blog focuses exclusively on news about the endless war on poverty.

The Environment

Just Too Many People: British scientist Chris Rapley confirms that our planet can only sustainably support a third of the current population, and that attempts to reduce ecological footprint and impact without reducing human population are futile.

Time-Series Views of North America From the Ice Age: I mentioned Pollen Viewer earlier this week. If you didn’t look at it then, check it out now, and realize how fragile our climate really is and how the ‘native’ trees of each area have changed so dramatically over the last 21,000 years. Referenced in this week’s New Yorker as well. Remarkable. Watch how Florida has shrunk as the ice melted and water levels rose, and as its climate has changed from temperate (like that of Maine today) to sub-tropical.

Fine Tune Your Boycott List: IdealsWork rates companies that make consumer products on their social and environmental responsibility scores. Quite similar to Responsible Shopper, but using more detailed rating criteria. Two important caveats: There is no detail explaining the one-sun (poor) to five-sun (good) scores, as there is with Responsible Shopper. And look deeper than the misleading overall scores: IdealsWork ‘streteches’ the differences between companies so that in any comparison, the best company gets an overall five-suns and the worse one-sun. This leads to absurd conclusions like in garden supplies Monsanto, with mostly one-sun ratings, getting an overall four-suns because its competitors in that consumer products category are mostly worse.

Koch Industries Gets Even Worse: The huge, private, secretive, Bush-loving, environment-destroying conglomerate called Koch Industries just got even bigger and more dangerous by buying (for a mere $21B) Georgia-Pacific. You’ve probably never heard of them, which is how they like it, but as eco-destroyers they rank up there with ExxonMobil and Monsanto.

No Cat and Dog Fur: Heather Mills McCartney (yes, that McCartney), long-time champion of a global ban on landmines, is now working to get companies and countries to stop doing business with those (mostly in China) who use cat and dog fur in their products. Don’t visit this site if you’re squeamish.

Building Local Communities: A group in Nevada is using the Web to raise local consciousness about the value of community involvement, social and environmental responsibility, and buying local.

In Praise of Savages: A hilarious tongue-in-cheek column by Fred speculates on why we use the term ‘savages’ disparagingly. Thanks to Dale Asberry for the link.

The Dickcissel Shows How Agriculture Changes Everything: A recent BBC documentary on birds showed the migration of the dickcissel, of which about 10 million remain, and which relies on air current updrafts, found over land masses only, for its long annual voyage. As a result, flocks of as many as a million birds can be seen over Panama during migration. At one time they went all over South America. But since the introduction of grains and sugar crops in Venezuela, they now cut short their trip and winter instead in massive numbers in small areas of that country, destroying the crops and inciting farmers to spray roosts of up to three million birds with toxic poisons.

And a Climate-Change Fungus is Killing Frogs: A fungus highly sensitive to climate change is exploding, and wiping out whole species of frogs in Central and South America in the process. Thanks to Dale Asberry for the link.

marymattingly

The Arts

Our Cultural Blindness: Watch a complete short film online that challenges our assumptions about racial and cultural tolerance. Terrific debut from young British filmmaker Nadia Aamer.

The Activist Art of Mary Mattingly: Artist Mary Mattingly’s work shows us a different way to see the world, and some possibilities to make it better. The photo above is from her amazing collection New Breeds.

The Poetry of Patrick Lane: Canadian poet Patrick Lane has written a wonderful new work about Christmas.

Blogging

See Your Blog as a Mac User Does: iCapture allows Windows users to see screenshots of how their blog looks to those using the Mac’s Safari browser.

Dave’s Colossal Ego: Confirming my critics’ complaints, egoSurf confirms that I have one of the 50 largest egos online. Enter your name and your blog or website URL and see how you rank. Thanks, I think, to Dale Asberry for the link.

Talk to Others Reading Your Blog: QuickChat is a new browser plug-in that allows you to see who else is on the same blog or website you’re reading, and chat with them in real time.

Quotes for the Week:

In disturbing medical news, a new study of 1,000 Americans finds that obesity in the United States has gotten so bad that there actually were, upon closer scrutiny, only 600 Americans involved in the study.  – Dave Barry

All of us alive now are the most important human beings who have ever lived, because we’re determining the future, not just for a hundred years, but for a billion years. – Earth First’s Dave Foreman

January 13, 2006

Think Twice Canadians: Harper Reasserts Plan to Renege on Kyoto and Sabotage Charter of Rights with Insidious Neocon ‘Property Rights’ Clause

Filed under: How the World Really Works — Dave Pollard @ 08:42
harperbushStephen Harper, the Canadian Conservative leader soaring in the polls due to the staggering ineptness of his three progressive opponents, reasserted Thursday that he would renege on Canada’s commitment to the Kyoto Accord, which he says is ‘unworkable’. He also announced he would renege on aboriginal settlements and cancel child care funding put in place by the current Liberal administration. Even more frightening, he announced a new and sinister plan to entrench ‘property rights’ in the Canadian Charter of Rights & Freedoms. The defence of ‘property rights’ has been successfully used by US corporatists to circumvent and block environmental laws, animal protection laws, logging regulations and other progressive legislation and regulations. Harper’s plan would put the right of property-owners to do whatever they want with their ‘property’ ahead of and out of reach of any legislation restricting such ‘rights’.

A new group of progressive and moderate organizations called Think Twice Canada is sufficiently alarmed about Harper’s policies that they have hastily convened a news conference today (Friday) to inform Canadians about the implications of the Harper platform, because they believe (and I agree) that neither the other parties nor the media is giving voters sufficient information on this matter. The media and the parties seem to have decided that the environment is not an issue in the campaign, and need not be covered in the news. The property rights issue appears too complex for the media to analyze — beyond covering the statements of the party leaders, there has been no discussion of it in any of the media, no editorials, no constitutional analysis.

Think twice Canadians! We are this close to falling into the neocon hell that our American counterparts have been suffering under for five years, with policies ruinous to the environment, civil freedoms, the economy and the middle class. Like Harper is doing now, Bush in 2000 soft-pedaled his radical right-wing agenda under the guise of ‘compassionate conservatism’. Like Harper is doing now, Bush exploited a scandal by his political opponents to seize power without being honest about his real political intentions. Like Harper, Bush was heavily supported by Big Oil interests and extreme right-wing groups totally out of touch with, and disinterested in, the desires of the country’s citizens.

On January 23, please make sure your vote counts. Don’t let this dangerous man take power in our country.

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