A Succession of Failures


Trump as Canute, ordering back the waves; my own prompt*

Aurélien has written a series of articles recently on the subject of competence, or, more specifically, its absence in our globalized civilization culture. As many of our political, economic, social, educational, health and other systems teeter, and in an increasing number of cases (and places) collapse, competence naturally becomes harder to come by. It’s hard to keep your wits about you when everything around you is falling apart.

These systems have grown in size and complexity to the point that they can no longer provide what they were designed to provide. And as Jared Diamond, Ronald Wright and others have explained, all civilizations inevitably collapse when they reach this stage. There is no bringing collapsing systems back from the brink, no matter what Hollywood might tell you.

This drop in learning, skill, and experience in positions of authority is coming, Aurélien suggests, at exactly the time we need competence more than ever.

One need only look at what passes for leaders in pivotal positions of power these days to see how bad it’s become. The pathetic quadrumvirate of current leaders of the US Empire show this particularly starkly:

  • We have Blinken, the military leader: “The world doesn’t organize itself. When we’re not engaged, when we don’t lead, then one of two things happens: either some other country tries to take our place, but probably not in a way that advances our interests and values, or no one does, and then you get chaos.”
  • We have Yellen, the financial leader: “Unemployment serves as a worker-discipline device because the prospect of a costly unemployment spell produces sufficient fear of job loss.”
  • We have Nuland, the ‘foreign policy’ leader, organizing reckless, murderous coups all over the world and calling for all-out armageddon-level wars against Russia and China. And saying: “Fuck the EU.”
  • And we have Warmonger-in-Chief Biden: “American leadership is what holds the world together”. Uh huh.

It would be hard to imagine a less competent group of people to have in power. You could pick four people off the streets and put them in power and they would almost certainly be less-awful fuck-ups than this gang of clowns.

I’m not sure Aurélien ‘blames’ anyone or anything for this dearth of competence. There are times when he seems to acknowledge that we’re all doing our best (which is what I, really, honestly, believe, sad to say), and other times when he seems ready to blame the education system, or a powerful-but-unorganized group he calls the Professional-Managerial Caste (PMC), or just character flaws among those in power.

But whether or not anyone is responsible, he says the result is the tendency of those in power, realizing that, perhaps due to widespread incompetence or system sclerosis or system collapse or some combination thereof, they cannot really accomplish anything, to substitute talk for action.

He calls this “performative behaviour”. So, for example, since Bernie Sanders knows he will never be allowed by the Democratic Party establishment to do any of the things he knows needs to be done (like instituting universal free health care, or opposing the Israeli-American genocide in Palestine), he has to settle for expressing his strong opinions on these subjects “in no uncertain terms”.

The Democratic Party establishment is delighted for him to do so. His speeches keep some hopeful leftists in the Democratic tent a little longer, while actually accomplishing nothing whatsoever, least of all affecting government policies and actions.

Devoid of the capacity and competence to actually get anything done (and hence to promise to do something, lest you be called on it later), our ‘leaders’ are content instead to issue what Aurélien calls “statements of what they Are [or Think, or Believe], not what they are [actually] doing or intend to Do”. Or even worse, statements that merely say what or who they are opposed to.

I guess when you never actually do anything, it’s hard to be accused of doing anything wrong. You just stand up there with the flag behind you, and an appropriately culturally diverse group of people smiling at your side, and tell the world what you Believe. (And then have the press corps scribes ready to repeat your statement as truth and ‘action’, in all the major media and through your bots in the social media.)

Whole parties and movements are now merely based on proclamations of what the group believes or how it identifies itself, or what it thinks “needs to be done”, or “must be done”, or “must be opposed” or “must be stopped”. Who is supposed to do it or stop it, and how, is usually left conveniently unstated. Or there’s always the fall-back to the not-so-royal “we”, as in “We all must now…” No actual action is required, other than group gatherings to make the rhetorical proclamations, loudly and righteously, over and over.

As I have said repeatedly: This is what collapse looks like. One can imagine the last leaders of the Roman Empire urging the masses with speeches from the rooftops and ramparts to “Make Rome Great Again!”

In short, what we have seen over the past century, as all of civilization’s systems have become more and more complex and unmanageable, is an unrelenting, uninterrupted, 100-year-long succession of failures in all our systems and institutions. The utter failure of all of the many recent wars engineered by the US Empire to accomplish anything is the obvious example.

The staggering incompetence of our handling of the CoVid-19 pandemic, which we knew was coming, and which nevertheless our broken systems enabled millions of people to die horrible, unnecessary deaths, is just kind of the icing on the incompetence cake. Whether or not the public health systems were already so broken that those millions would have died even if the system leaders were competent, is pretty much a moot point.

There is IMO no one to ‘blame’ for this, and I sense that our absurd and incompetent leaders are now mostly just pretending (even to themselves) that these collapsing systems — overburdened by unsustainable debts, desolated ecosystems, exhausted resources, and insane overpopulation of the species, among other things — can somehow respond to their bidding when they are irreparably broken. Our ‘leaders’ (especially Trump, the epitome of incompetence) are like King Canute, ordering back the waves*.

So now the citizens have largely given up belief that our systems and institutions are incapable of doing anything competently, leading to a nostalgic and deluded view among conservatives that things were better in the rugged individualist old days when it was every man for himself (pioneers), when adults were competent at doing everything needed to survive and thrive (hard-working men in patriarchal families), when good guys fought evil (cowboys, vigilantes), when the responsibility was on you yourself to succeed (rags-to-riches stories), and to heal yourself (religions, self-help), when you learned what you needed from your parents or on the streets, when geniuses single-handedly invented miraculous world-changing technologies (Franklin, Ford). And the same nostalgia prevails among leftists about the dashed promises of progress, innovation, the American Dream, socialism, anarchism, working-class revolution, left-libertarian communitarianism, etc.

So we see many new right-wing governments trying to turn back the clock to fictitious past days of glory, order and self-discipline. And the left, unable to sell nostalgia to their slightly-smarter supporters, and devoid of any new answers, is in broad and chaotic, self-blame-y retreat.

This substituting belief and speech for action may be partly due to laziness, or fear of consequences, but mostly I think it’s the awareness that when systems are falling apart, they become dysfunctional and sclerotic to the point it actually becomes impossible to do anything other than what the system in place is already doing. (You know, like launching endless wars, and tinkering with interest rates.) When no one can actually change or fix the system, politicians mostly differentiate themselves on the basis of what they might ideally like to do in accordance with their beliefs, but cannot. Though of course they won’t admit their incapacity, or their incompetence, to their supporters. Hope, anyone?

So now, the game is just playing itself out, with the systems, designed to resist change, so entrenched and inflexible and broken that even with near-universal agreement we cannot do something as simple as reversing the error of Daylight Saving Time.

It’s all coming down, and nothing — not appeal to the Rapture, not nostalgia for the good old days when things were simpler and better, not new technology or better morals or magical humanist thinking — is going to stop it. All we can do is chronicle it and do what we can do to cope as it all falls apart, slowly and then all at once.


* Yes, I’m aware that most scholars believe Canute was actually merely pointing out to his followers the limitations of human, even royal, power, compared to that of nature (God). 

Posted in Collapse Watch, How the World Really Works, Our Culture / Ourselves | 5 Comments

The Humanity-as-Cancer Metaphor


source: note that OWID has been accused of misrepresenting some data to support the optimistic “the world is getting better and better” ideologies of their colleagues such as Bill Gates and Steven Pinker

Since I started this blog I’ve often referred to the growth and destructiveness of the human species as analogous to a cancer killing a human body. I was recently asked whether I thought it was a reasonable metaphor.

Of course every metaphor has its limitations, and can be dangerous when the degree of equivalence or parallel is overstated. Some of the writers and students of history and human nature whom I most admire, like John Gray and Ronald Wright, seem to think humans are inherently, biologically, and by our very nature, rapacious and destructive, and uncaring of the rest of life on earth.

I think it’s useful to look at the metaphor through the lens of the Gaia hypothesis and what it really means to be part of a whole-earth organism that perceives (not conceives) of itself as such. My sense is that all forms of life on earth strive ‘unconsciously’, instinctively, and evolutionarily to protect and sustain Gaia, the collective organism — just as the cells in our body, while appearing to be self-serving, are actually in service to the whole body organism.

My take is that it makes no sense evolutionarily for a species like ours to have emerged with qualities that mitigate against the health, balance and stability of the entire earth-organism, and Gaia, after all, has had billions of years to get the experiment of evolution functioning properly and sustainably. If we are indeed analogous to cancer cells, then that suggests to me that there must have been a miscoding somewhere along the way, an evolutionary misstep. I have argued that it might have been the unique entanglement of the human brain’s ‘left’ and ‘right’ processing functions which made us, a few hundred thousand years ago or so, in a word, crazy. Confused, disconnected and misdirected in our behaviour, just like cancer cells.

My sense is that other creatures have not evolved a sense of self and separation, for the simple reason that they don’t need one to thrive, and never have. They therefore do not conceive of any particular danger to ‘themselves’ as ‘individuals’ that must be addressed and overcome. (That’s not to say they don’t have survival instincts, but I’d argue those instincts are not about ‘them’.)

Non-human creatures are, I think, just part of the whole-earth organism, and they would no sooner think that a jaguar eating them was ‘wrong’, than a worn-out cell in the body would think that the autophagy-inducing proteins (ATGs) that recycle such cells and reuse the still-useful parts elsewhere in the body organism, were ‘wrong’ and needed to be fought and defeated.

So if we have in fact become an apparently rapacious and destructive species, I think it’s a combination of that screwed-up wiring of our brains, and the (consequent) endless stresses of modern civilized life, that have made us deranged. Tragic, but not evil.

Looking at the chart above or at the most recent ecological, climate and economic data, it’s hard to be optimistic about whether our species, like a fast-spreading cancer, will indeed ‘kill’ the host body (Gaia) — ie render it unfit for life. Given the diagnoses from credible scientists like Jim Hansen, the prognosis does indeed seem grim. That would seem to make the cancer metaphor even more pertinent, and even prophetic.

I do believe civilization’s near-term collapse is inevitable, and that human population will soon (end of this century at the latest) return to levels close to what prevailed a century ago, and thence to levels a millennium or so from now comparable to our population two millennia ago — and possibly even to our species’ extinction after a few more millennia. Still, I would be surprised if Gaia is unable to find a way to perpetuate life of some kind on this planet. In the 4.5 billion years since life first emerged, there have been many near-extinctions and very close calls, but life has prevailed.

How does that fit with the metaphor? Well, consider the case of spontaneous remission from cancer. Cancer usually results from errors in cell replication creating cells that fail to follow the instructions that ensure they will contribute positively to, and in balance with, the rest of the body’s cells, organs and tissues. The body has immune and other mechanisms whose function is to ‘correct’ those errors in various ways, resulting in the destruction of the cancerous cells and the prevention of new ones from forming.

So, following our metaphor, the ‘spontaneous remission’ of Gaia would not, metaphorically, be the sudden awareness of humans as to our devastating impact on the planet, and radically changing our behaviour and numbers accordingly. Cancers do no ‘cure themselves’.

No, the metaphoric equivalent of spontaneous remission for our planet would be Gaia acting powerfully and urgently to rid the earth-organism of the menace of the cancer destroying it — ie the human species. And, I think it could be argued, that is exactly what she is attempting to do.

It might not be necessary for her to completely eliminate all humans on the planet. A small number in areas where they do not do a lot of damage is manageable. And, especially if she can find a way to eliminate the ones with the entangled brains and leave the more harmless ones without that horrible debilitation, she might even accommodate whole thriving communities of humans that contribute positively to the health of the whole-earth organism, and show that John Gray and Ronald Wright are too harsh in their assessment of humans’ inherent nature.

I think that’s enough on that metaphor.

I could pose another question: In light of all this, who or what actually possesses ‘consciousness’? using a metaphor that would provide a rather unorthodox answer to that question. But I’ll save that for another day.

Posted in Collapse Watch, How the World Really Works, Illusion of the Separate Self and Free Will, Our Culture / Ourselves | 6 Comments

Interview with Dave on the Reskillience Podcast


I don’t believe we have free will, nor do I believe that our civilization’s accelerating collapse can be prevented or even mitigated. So I no longer provide advice on what people “should do” in the face of collapse. Instead, I just refer to this ‘reminders’ list to try to assess how adaptable I will be as collapse deepens, and hence how useful I am likely to be to the world as that happens. Some people I know have said they found it valuable to compile a similar list for themselves. [Updated Jan.5/24; image by Midjourney AI, my own prompt]

I was recently honoured to be selected to be the first interviewee on a new podcast series called Reskillience, led by Australian permaculturalist Catie Payne. Catie’s an accomplished podcaster (having done a series of over 100 programs on homesteading), and an extraordinarily fine interviewer. This was far and away the easiest interview I’ve ever done.

The series is all about developing useful skills for coping with collapse, and I was chosen based on this article  from last September called How Do We Teach the Critical Skills Needed to Face Collapse?, which was republished by Resilience.

There’s not a lot that regular readers will get from the podcast that you haven’t already heard me say, but if you’re curious to hear what my voice sounds like talking about this for an hour and a quarter (believe me, I’m a better writer than speaker), it was fun to do and you might enjoy it. And by all means check out and subscribe to the rest of Catie’s series; the second program in the series is now up as well.

The interview with me is available on Zencastr here, on Apple Podcasts here, and on Spotify podcasts here.

Posted in Collapse Watch, How the World Really Works, Our Culture / Ourselves | 1 Comment

Civilization’s Cycle of Trauma

Lately I’ve been trying to integrate Gabor Maté’s ideas about attachment and authenticity, with my thinking about what I’ve called Civilization Disease — the mental illness that seems, to a lesser or greater extent, to have afflicted all of us living in our now-global industrial civilization. A disease and mental illness which has led to an absurd and unsustainable population of 8 billion humans who have managed to destroy the planet’s carrying capacity for most if not all life, including human life, and immiserate much of both the human and more-than-human population in the process.

For a while, I have been positing that this mental illness is the inevitable result of the (arguably illusory) sense that humans are separate and apart from everything else and have (arguably illusory) ‘selves’ that believe themselves to have free will and be in control of the body they presume to inhabit. After all, when faced with an endless stream of evidence that we have no free will and are not at all in control of what ‘our’ bodies do, that has to be crazy-making. What are ‘we’ about, if not steering this strange bag of bones, cells and organs to do better than it would do without ‘us’?

I’ve made this argument repeatedly, including forwarding a hypothesis (the Entanglement Hypothesis) for how this erroneous belief arose.

But the question is — Can this be reconciled with the theories (most clearly articulated by Richard Lewontin in The Triple Helix) that chronic stress, poverty and overwork are the root causes of most human strife, violence and disease?

The chart above is an attempt to accommodate both Richard’s ideas, and Gabor’s argument about the importance to our psychological health of secure attachment and the ability to be our authentic selves. It’s pretty self-explanatory: The stresses inherent in civilization culture, combined with the effect of past generations’ trauma on our parents, preclude us from getting what we need to be healthy human beings in early childhood. And then as we grow, and are subjected to the accumulated trauma of teachers, bosses, peers and others, and continue to be deprived of the attention, appreciation, and reassurance we all seek, need and believe we deserve, so we end up inheriting that trauma, and its associated sociopathic illnesses, and passing them on to our own children, students, co-workers and colleagues, repeating the cycle.

And then of course we act out that trauma — often in acts of violence, abuse, anger, hatred, depression, fear, anxiety, and war. Humans’ capacity to condition each other, which is essential for our human societies to thrive because we require other humans living with us in community to do so, then becomes weaponized by our trauma. The result: Civilization Disease.

Here’s a more expansive explanation of how that might play out for many humans:

So they grew up with really busy, frazzled parents. Maybe their father was a war survivor. Maybe their mother suffered abuse in childhood or in her marriage. Neither parent had much time for their children, but they did their best.

So the children didn’t really grow up with a sense of close attachment to either of their parents, a sense that they would be loved and cared for no matter what happened, and no matter what they did. So they had to be careful sometimes, about what they did and said. They couldn’t always say what they really felt, either because their parents weren’t there to hear them (physically or mentally), or because they were afraid it would upset them. It was always safer not to upset them, even if that meant lying, or hiding their feelings. Sometimes they were not even entirely sure what they thought or how they felt themselves.

As they grew up, their relationships with their friends, their teachers, and their co-workers seemed a lot like their relationship with their parents — feeling obliged to agree or to do what they were told even when they thought it was wrong. They bottled it up, deciding it was wise not to show fear, anger, or sadness, unless they were with people who they knew agreed that fear, anger, or sadness was appropriate. And then it really came out, although since fear was considered immature they often masked it with a display of anger or righteous indignation, especially when people they cared about shared these feelings.

They weren’t lonely kids, but they did sometimes feel a bit abandoned. Whoever they were with, they never got quite as much personal attention, appreciation, or reassurance as they would have liked, or that they thought was warranted. So they often felt that they weren’t doing as well as they should, or as well as people expected of them. They often didn’t feel like people actually listened to them. They often felt a little lost, confused, unsure of themselves and what they should do, or even what they wanted to do.

Life wasn’t that hard, but they had to stay on their toes. Health issues, financial problems, issues of personal security, work pressures, and other stressors were always coming up, sometimes almost too much to deal with. Nothing was ever quite enough, or quite good enough, and the dangers of sudden losses or reversals of fortune were always in the back of their minds. Most of the times things were OK, but there were times of struggle, failure and suffering that they wouldn’t wish on anyone.

For some reason perhaps they decided they wanted to be parents, teachers, managers, executives. They swore they’d be better at it than their parents, teachers, and bosses. They wouldn’t make the same mistakes.

But 20 years later they wondered whether they’d actually done any better. When they asked, they were always told they had done a good job, at least under the circumstances. But damn, it was a stressful time, and there were hard, painful times, and they couldn’t always be their best selves. Over their lifetimes, the world had become more competitive, more challenging, more precarious. Never enough time for themselves, for thinking and talking things through properly, or for doing the things they knew they could be doing better. Something was missing they couldn’t quite put their finger on…

This is all just a theory of course, no better or worse than any other theory of human behaviour. It works for me because I see no logic or virtue in assigning blame for ‘misbehaviour’, since it suggests our conditioning could have been any different from what it was, and that the outcome could therefore have been different, when IMO it could not. I’m just looking for a plausible explanation for how our promising civilization ended up taking us to where it has, in the accelerating stages of a collapse with severe implications for all life on the planet. And this theory makes as much sense to me as any other.

So, drawing this whole theory together:

  1. I propose that it was the entanglement of the hemispheres of our brains, an evolutionary accident, uniquely in humans, early in our history, that gave rise to the entirely illusory (but very convincing) sense that human individuals are separate from ‘everything-else’ and are possessed of ‘selves’ that are in control of these individuals’ bodies.
  2. This false sense of self and separation was and is inherently traumatizing — we feel that we are capable of, and responsible for, protecting these bodies from every sort of imaginable danger, and directing them to take appropriate actions, when we intuitively ‘know’ and fear that we cannot protect and do not direct them. This terrifying ‘realization’ (which we call ‘consciousness’) has led us to do remarkable, and remarkably destructive, things to try to protect and direct our selves and our world, including the invention of language, and the creation of civilizations and the tools of war. This sense of separation has also ‘disconnected’ us from being what other living creatures simply are — part of the single inseparable organism of all-life-on-earth, always intuitively seeking to sustain the delicate balance of their entire organism (that is their conditioning).
  3. These well-intentioned human civilizations, being inherently fragile, unsustainable, and disconnected (like a cancer) from the rest of the earth-organism of which we are an inseparable and integral apart, have, by trying to self-perpetuate our ‘separateness’, given rise to human societies that are rife with chronic stress, poverty, precarity, violence, and overwork (the gold box in the chart above).
  4. These dysfunctional human societies have, by depriving us of the essential needs for physical and psychological health, produced the endless cycles of trauma and sociopathy illustrated in the chart above.
  5. And the end-product of all that is Civilization Disease, and the next Great Extinction of life on the planet.

The whole thing began with an accident, an experiment with the structure of the brain that turned out to be a serious maladaptation. And now it’s just running its inevitable course, playing out the only way it could.

‘We’, who presume ourselves to be separate and conscious, are just observers of this playing-out, chroniclers of this strange aberration in one species’, and hence the planet’s, evolution. Helpless, and blameless.

Not the ending we would have wanted. But man, quite a show!


PS: An afterthought:

If this theory is plausible, it has one further, very concerning, implication, and that is for our readiness and resilience in dealing with the accelerating collapse of our civilization. Our ability to cope with collapse will depend to a large extent on our mental health as we face each crisis, on our resilience to be able to take each challenge in stride, and on the level of basic competencies (such as the list of nine I identified in my recent article) that we will have to bring to bear to create new, functional, sustainable post-civ societies.

As long as we’re continuing to deal with the cycle of trauma (which is likely to continue as collapse accelerates), our mental health, resilience and community-building competencies are likely to remain poor. That does not bode well for our survival.

Posted in Collapse Watch, How the World Really Works, Illusion of the Separate Self and Free Will, Our Culture / Ourselves | 6 Comments

Fear of Collapse: Things Falling Apart, Left and Right


“Riding Into the Unknown”: as depicted by Midjourney AI; not my prompt 

Much has been written of late about the “collapse of the left” and the global rise of right-wing populism. In many cases this is (somewhat understandably) blamed on infighting among ‘factions’ of the left. This recent article laments the “abandonment” by leading leftist thinkers of their commitment to the values that have traditionally defined the left, and the embrace by “high-profile defectors” of xenophobic and neocon causes, suggesting some of them are doing it “for the money”.

Rhyd Wildermuth, one of those who has been accused of going over to the other side by joining the sometimes-disturbing right-wing-funded platform UnHerd, rebuked the charges, blaming the intransigence of diehard “woke” liberals for the disillusionment of many leftists with the idealistic neoliberal party line. The term “loss of faith”, tellingly, is much used to describe the behaviour of such “defectors”. An excerpt from Rhyd’s rebuttal, explaining why he believes it is the self-proclaimed spokespeople for the left who have, in recent years, “lost the thread”:

Suddenly, using a material analysis to understand economic disparity meant you were anti-Black, anti-trans, and anti-disabled. Suddenly, thinking that the concerns of the working class mattered more than ever-changing academic theories meant you were a fascist. Just as suddenly, criticizing the globalization of capitalism and the erosion of local democratic control meant you were antisemitic. Believing humans should be allowed to decide what they do with their bodies suddenly meant you’d fallen for far right conspiracy theories about micro-chipped vaccines. And practically (or perhaps truly) overnight, standing for the principles of free speech and due process meant being a white supremacist and a rape-apologist.

On the other hand, what being “leftist” meant no longer looked anything like what it used to. What passes for it now is indistinguishable from capitalist optimism: an embrace of technological disruption as the key to social progress, a focus on individualistic identity-markers rather than collective class struggle, an increasing vilification of manual labor and non-urban cultural and religious forms, and a fanatic belief that every natural limit to human consumption and behavior can be transcended.

I wonder, though, whether there isn’t a deeper explanation for the apparent dysfunction of the political left, that also explains the growing success of demagogues in appealing to conservatives in many countries.

My reading of anthropology suggests that we humans are susceptible to three core, instinctive emotions that we share, for evident evolutionary reasons, with all creatures — anger, fear, and sadness. These emotions motivate us, when it’s appropriate, to fight, flee, freeze, or move on to new places. But in our modern civilization culture, these emotions (plus some additional uniquely human ones like hatred, shame, jealousy and guilt) can be provoked in ways that can render us dysfunctional.

We’ve learned to ignore, distrust and deny what our instincts tell us, but that won’t stop them from telling us about the dangers we face.

It’s pretty easy to understand the fear and anger of conservatives and of what used to be called the “working classes”. The cities have become alien, frightening places to them (fears which the right-wing media are all too willing to amplify). Everything they believed in, especially the American Dream (“you can do anything if you work hard enough”), seems broken, lost. Their lives are defined by precarity. There are no jobs, and no job security (and heaven forbid that our educational systems should teach young people how to create their own). Their debts have been rising and their income and net worth falling (especially if you use real inflation numbers) for 50 years. The values they were taught (hard work, obedience, religious faith) seem to have fallen out of favour. They are utterly baffled by complex issues like the economy and climate change.

No surprise then that when demagogues come along that rail against “modernity” (everyone’s favourite new whipping boy, since it can mean anything you hate about the current state of the world), and promise a return to nostalgic past times that never actually existed (eg “MAGA”), and also promise to punish the sinners whom they blame for everything falling apart (liberals, feminists, foreigners and of course “the government”), these demagogues are often welcomed by conservatives and the “working classes”. They’re terrified, and angry, and they’re looking for someone who will tell them they’re right, and that soon everything will be put right again. The most telling word in MAGA is the last one.

It’s been half a century, I would say, since self-proclaimed leftists actually gave a damn about the “working classes”, so caught up are they in their humanistic, idealistic, ideology of endless progress, “fairness” and “justice” (vague terms that, like “freedom”, “democracy” and “modernity” mean vastly different things to different people). The working classes have surely noticed that there is no more progress, fairness or justice today, at least how they would define those terms, than there was 50 years ago, despite self-proclaimed progressives being in power for quite a bit more than half of that time. It is hard to deny that that power has been squandered by successive “progressive” administrations in favour of what Aurélien calls “performative governance” (saying the right things and showing the right, diverse, public faces, while doing substantively nothing).

And it is equally hard to deny that these “progressive” administrations have been every bit as incompetent at accomplishing anything of lasting value, as the “conservative” and populist administrations they have traded power with. It isn’t hard, with that record, to see how politicians who vow to lessen the role and cost of government forever, successfully play on the simple thinking and naiveté of most voters (across the political spectrum).

I see the fragmentation of what used to be called “the left” as being largely the result of a very similar intuitive sense of anger and fear among leftists. Like the rest of the population, I think, leftists sense there is something very wrong with the way things are, and the way they seem to be headed. Their anger, I think, reflects a sense of betrayal by so-called “progressive” political “leaders” whose only drive seems to be how to stir up opposition to conservatives and populists (ie foment more anger and fear) as their means to obtain or retain power.

The vast majority of what Aurélien calls the Professional-Managerial Caste (PMC) — the part of the “left” that remains when the “working classes” have deserted it — have not benefited at all from the supposed “growth” in the economy for the last 50 years, and find their situation almost as precarious as that of the “working classes”. They have seen carefully crafted performances by “progressive” administrations while the economy continues to crash and become ever-more inequitable, and while the world burns (in many senses of the word). They have seen the small top-caste segment of the PMC (with loud media support) refashion the alleged values of the left to be around an abstract, ideological platform of identity, theory and principles, largely, as Rhyd says, divorced from any connection with action (other than performative “actions”), and divorced from most people’s actual material lives.

Why should they support any party or leader or movement that utterly betrays in their actions (and inactions) what their words espouse?

[As an aside: What the political ‘pundits’ miss in their furious election polling is that, notwithstanding which party the befuddled citizens claim to support (ie hate least), the citizens in almost all ‘western’ countries have consistently, and by a large margin, supported what were traditionally “progressive” programs and policies — free access to abortion, universal free health care, and sharply graduated taxation of the rich, most notably. The fact that these citizens are now concluding that the self-proclaimed “progressive” and “centrist” parties are not actually willing to face the political storm required to implement these programs and policies, bodes poorly for these parties and well for the conservative and populist parties that oppose them.]

I believe that most of the population, in most of the world, across the political spectrum, probably intuitively knows (but refuses to let themselves believe) that the polycrisis can only end in one way — collapse. Most, I think, have no clear sense of what “collapse” means, but the daily doom-scroll keeps telling them that things are getting worse, and are out of control, and the future looks even worse. And so they are, understandably, angry, fearful, and sad.

As I keep saying ad nauseum, this is what collapse looks like. When everything has become dysfunctional, so the entirety of our civilization is operating largely on auto-pilot, continuing its corporate-capitalism-programmed attempts to grow and consume as many resources as possible, most people are starting to look for an exit ramp (preferably a reassuring, simple, populist one, though a religious/spiritual/ideological one will do in a pinch), and, I think, have largely, and not irrationally, given up on the political process. Most won’t of course acknowledge this — the vacuum it leaves behind is too awful to countenance — but we are, I believe, starting to act as if this civilization is (almost assuredly but not quite certainly) done for.

This is indeed a “loss of faith”, and I’m not surprised at all at the number of former leftists and collapsniks who have retreated to religious beliefs, or to (mostly ancient) spiritual and mythic beliefs and practices. A lot of people, it seems, need to have faith in something.

Collapse is what happens when this is finally admitted, and people head for the hills. Most people don’t really believe Trump will be any better than the execrable war-monger and PMC-top-caste patsy Biden. They’re both known quantities, and both they and their political machines are almost universally loathed by the citizens, and pretty much equally incompetent and ideologically sclerotic. The same, I think, applies in most ‘western’ nations, and the same may also be true in non-Empire nations, who have their own share of incompetent demagogues. Aurélien argues that in times of crisis we turn politically to whoever is best able to offer us some basic security to weather the storm, and the answer to that, increasingly, is none of the above.

If you read Jared Diamond, or Ronald Wright, they will tell you what happens next when a civilization collapses. There will be attempts to keep it going, and attempts to reform it to make it work, neither of which can succeed because neither changes the broken underlying fundamentals (too big, unsustainable, resource scarcities, complicating ecological collapse, etc etc). If there were any functioning alternatives to the collapsing power structure (“uncivilized hordes”), they would then try to fill the power vacuum. But with this collapse being global, there are no functional powers waiting in the wings to take over.

Finally, when attempts to bandage up the failed civilization have clearly not worked, there will be a reluctant “walking away”, as the shreds of the dysfunctional civilization fail to meet even the basic needs of citizens (and as this dysfunction is amplified by the movement of potentially billions of climate refugees). And with no other civilization to walk away to join, whatever emerges in our attempt to reorganize citizens into viable communities will, I think, of necessity be utterly chaotic — millions of small experiments, most of which will fail, because we no longer have the basic skills, hard or soft, or the preconditions needed to create and sustain communities. We have forgotten how to live the way we lived for a million ‘pre-civ’ years.

It’s going to be hard, and very likely last centuries, perhaps even millennia, during which we’ll watch the long tail of a suddenly much smaller human population stretch out, in endless decline. Perhaps ending in extinction, or perhaps in a much smaller population of radically local tribal communities, struggling their way to rediscover how to learn to live sustainably, together, in community.

It’s going to be hard, and, I truly believe, based on everything I’ve read about civilizations and cultures and human nature, it’s more than likely going to be exciting, even awesome. I wish I could be there to see and participate! (Yeah, crazy thinking, I know. I’m weird that way.)

This is what we are, intuitively, I think, all afraid of. Across the political spectrum, we don’t like things falling apart. We don’t like precarity, uncertainty, struggle, having to change, and making mistakes. We don’t like complexity, and how it plays with our foolish ideologies and humbles us — and when it comes to complexity, Gaia has no peers. And most of all, we don’t like chaos. We are absolutely right to be instinctively afraid, angry, and sad in these, the declining, frail years of our once-promising civilization. And we are right to feel betrayed by political, economic and social ideologies that have done us no favours, and which led us, inadvertently, to this collapse.

Posted in Collapse Watch, How the World Really Works, Our Culture / Ourselves | 7 Comments

Workable Post-Civ Societies: Ideas from Ivan Illich and Gustavo Esteva

In praise of the vernacular.

photo of Ivan Illich (2nd left) and Gustavo Esteva (2nd right), from Radical Ecological Democracy

The idea of ‘practicing’ how we might live in the societies that emerge after civilization’s collapse has always interested me. I’m convinced that we’re not likely going to be able to create viable models of new ways to live, at least not at any scale, until our current global industrial civilization culture has collapsed and ‘gotten out of the way’. But why not practice now anyway, and learn a thing or two in the process?

This is what underlies my fascination with Intentional Communities, which are, in many cases, attempts to do just that — to find a more resilient, sustainable, humane, peaceful and connected way to live and make a living together than the ones on offer from our global industrial civilization. While there are some remarkable, enduring exceptions, most of these ‘model communities’ rarely last. The reasons for that are complicated and varied (loss of founders, financial problems, unreasonable expectations, inequitable workload, dysfunctional members etc.)

In any case, it’s unlikely that anything we learn now will be of much use to post-civilization societies when they emerge — in a generation, a century, or even a millennium from now. And it’s far from certain our species will survive at all. Still, there’s no harm thinking about what models might work, and, perhaps more importantly, about the factors that distinguish those that work from those that don’t.

There are two dangerous tendencies among those who like to think about creating alternative models of how humans ‘should’ live — (i) the tendency to idealize, and invent a ‘one-size-fits-all’ model that fits with one’s personal (often impracticable) ideals and parochial worldview, and (ii) the tendency to think that any effective community model can be ‘designed’ top-down, rather than it just emerging and evolving, through the collective efforts of its participants, to meet uniquely local, ‘vernacular’ needs.

As an incorrigible idealist myself, I confess that, especially in its early years, this blog was replete with idealistic models of better ways to live and be in the world, which are now mostly cringe-worthy. I refuse to take them down because they remind me of past errors in my thinking, and hopefully prevent me from making the same errors again.

And as an impatient person who loves to design things, I confess I have often thought I ‘knew better’ what needed to be done in a particular situation than the people actually personally steeped in the problem. I have often later apologized for my hubris.

I preface this article with those caveats because two of the people who tried valiantly to develop alternative models to the capitalistic crypto-democratic hierarchical massive-scale globalized systems we are struggling with today (and watching fall apart) were staunch, almost rabid, idealists. They were Ivan Illich (1926-2002) and Gustavo Esteva (1936-2022 — a victim of CoVid-19).

What I appreciated about these two, who knew each other well and worked together in some of the most impoverished parts of México, is that they had the courage to try to implement their vision and model of a better way to live in the communities they were adopted into and grew to love. Nothing like a dose of practical reality to take the polished edge off your idealism.

Both of them had seen (mostly from the work of religious missionaries) the carnage that results from attempts to impose an ideology (religious, political, or economic), and even impose a way of being, on an entire population. Instead, as Ivan put it, it’s essential to understand and embrace the vernacular — the ways that have emerged and evolved in each local place to suit their unique circumstances and cultures, ways that “made poverty tolerable” there.

Ivan focused much of his attention on two rigid, imposed European-model systems — education and ‘health care’. The alternative, community-based, community-responsive systems he strove to implement were ‘convivial’ — based on local knowledge and local connection, and on the development of demonstrated competencies, not academic degrees.

He fiercely defended his uncompromising ideals — including that the precondition for creating more responsive, effective, local communities and competencies was the complete abolition of the existing systems. He intuitively understood that radical change was not possible as long as the existing systems, dysfunctional as they were, remained in place, with their inevitably invested, change-resistant, staunch defenders.

He described the ‘health care system’ as inherently iatrogenic — causing and increasing disease rather than reducing it — and favoured systems that empowered the ‘patient’ citizen to learn enough to self-diagnose and self-treat many illnesses, to prevent rather than treat illnesses, and to work as a partner with community health care practitioners instead of waiting for the practitioners to just tell them what was wrong and what to do.

His colleague Gustavo worked closely with the Zapatistas to support their efforts to create a revolutionary, autonomous state free from Méxican government interference and ‘help’. He established the anti-authoritarian unschooling Universidad de la Tierra and spent his life working against the “hegemony” of both nation-states and corporate oligopolies, which he saw as dysfunctional institutions that needed to be abolished. A better alternative, he insisted, would come from indigenous communities themselves, developing local solutions that they would then share with other communities. The educational, political, economic, health care and other systems being forced on nations all over the world had never worked for the benefit of the citizens, he said, nor could they be reformed. They needed to be replaced.

Both men were extremely outspoken, often controversial, and not always particularly liked. They both intuitively loathed institutions and institutional ‘solutions’, believing that they were inflexible, incapable of evolving and learning, and that they incapacitated citizens from learning to do things for themselves. Even fans and positive reviewers of their work often criticized much of what they said for “going too far”.

Here’s my brief summary of what I thought were the main points from two of Ivan’s best-known books, with some excerpts of his principal ideas. And here’s an article by Gustavo explaining his “path to freedom” for communities. They’ll give you a bit of a flavour for their beliefs and approaches in their own words.

What are the shared principles that underlie small-scale, autonomous ‘vernacular’ systems that have emerged and evolved in indigenous communities and enabled their citizens to thrive? I don’t know that they have ever been specifically articulated, but I thought I would try to identify some of them. There is probably no ‘process’ that could necessarily nurture this emergence; like most natural systems, it’s a matter of trial and error, and learning and evolving by doing. Here’s what I came up with (it’s far from complete):

The emergence of effective ways to be in community requires:

  1.  That the members of the community learn and practice the ‘convivial’ arts of listening, conversation, collaboration, consensus building, critical thinking, conflict resolution, self-management, and self-directed learning — a curiosity-driven ‘learning how to learn’ for oneself instead of having to be ‘taught’.
  2. A deep understanding and appreciation of the local land and its inhabitants, all the forms of life including humans who ‘belong’ to the land; and hence what the land and its inhabitants offer, and what they need, and a continuous effort to sustainably draw on (accept, gift, harvest) what they offer and to meet their needs, cooperatively. And an ethic that enables everyone to appreciate when the interests of the community outweigh personal interests.
  3. Constant opportunities to learn and practice new capacities, both ‘hard’ and ‘soft’, to hone these capacities through working with self-selected mentors, watching demonstrations, apprenticing, and through doing and learning from facilitated practice and from mistakes, rather than ‘schooling’ or textbook-based ‘instruction’. And from play! [I saw this learning-from-demonstrations-and-apprenticing ably demonstrated during my short visit with Joe Bageant in a small village in Belize many years ago.]
  4. Nurturing the capacity in each of us to take care of our own and others’ health and well-being, including preventative actions (such as a good diet and exercise and accident prevention), self-diagnostic and self-treatment capacities, and understanding what constitutes a ‘good death’. And it requires ensuring that every child achieves the sense of secure attachment and the capacity to be authentic and true to him- or herself, free from abuse, that are needed to grow up to be a healthy, competent, non-dependent adult within a healthy, competent, self-sufficient community.
  5. The nurturing of opportunities to give vent to our passions to create and express ourselves through the arts, and to explore, and to discover.
  6. A capacity to create lasting confederations with other nearby communities, each respecting each other’s autonomy and unique ways, but also supporting each other in facing shared challenges.
  7. The creation of structures (eg for housing and transportation) that maximize conviviality and connection, and minimize isolation.
  8. An appreciation of the need to keep the community small, resilient, autonomous, adaptable, and in balance with the rest of life on the land (ie the objective is never ‘growth’).
  9. In all of the above, a continuing collective self-assessment of how the community is doing in each of these areas, and a collective determination of remedial actions when necessary.

There are probably many other requirements that a post-civ community will have to accommodate to thrive when our species starts over (probably again and again) after civilization’s collapse, to learn how to live as part of and in concert with all-life-on-earth. Thinking about what I have observed and read about wild creatures, it seems to me they mostly have these capacities, remarkably without the need for language to acquire or sustain them.

We also surely have much to learn from indigenous communities and those who have lived in them, though I suspect that, because their cultures have been so diminished by the destruction of their ways of life by our industrial civilization, that wisdom is quickly being lost.

I think Ivan and Gustavo, were they to look at the above list, would say that these were some of the qualities they spent their lives trying to help the communities they worked with, to achieve.

So this is not a model, a prescription, a process, a recipe, or even a set of ingredients for a functional community. It’s really, I think, just a list of preconditions for any successful human culture. Almost none of these preconditions are present, I would say, in most of our current cultures, or at least our western cultures. There is no prescription for how these preconditions might or could or should be met; they are emergent properties, not something that can be planned for or imposed. We will learn to meet them when we have to — or not. And most of that learning will likely have to await the collapse of the existing systems that consume almost all of our time and attention, and which fiercely resist such alternative ways of being and doing.

In reading this list, though, the joyful pessimist in me believes that some day in the long distant future there could well be many flourishing (probably largely tribal) human societies that meet these preconditions. Much will depend, I think, on our capacity to deal with the affliction of our species’ large brains and the separate, fearful selves they have concocted, inventions that, I suspect, make creating and sustaining cohesive communities so much harder than it has to be.

Me, I just watch the local community of crows out my window, with wonder and awe. They obviously meet all these preconditions and do all these things, in spades.

Y’know, what healthy creatures do.

Posted in Collapse Watch, How the World Really Works, Our Culture / Ourselves | 4 Comments

In a Foreign Land

This is #25 in a series of month-end reflections on the state of the world, and other things that come to mind, as I walk, hike, and explore in my local community.


photo taken here in Coquitlam by Vancouverite Ashika Morasiewicz

In a foreign land there were creatures at play,
Running hand in hand, needing nowhere to stay,
Driven to the mountains high, they were sunken in the cities deep,
Livin’ in my sleep.

I feel like goin’ back, back where there’s nowhere to stay,
When fire filled the sky, I still remember that day.
These rocks I’m climbin’ down have already left the ground,
Careening through space.
I used to build these buildings; I used to walk next to you.
Their shadows tore us apart, and now we do what we do.
Driven to the mountains high, sunken in the cities deep,
Livin’ in our sleep.
I feel like goin’ back, back where there’s nowhere to stay.

— Neil Young, Goin’ Back

Yesterday I prowled the neighbourhood, looking for stories. I wondered as I wandered: What does this bustling community and its land and people have to tell me next, if I only pay attention?

Perhaps that nobody really knows anything. Or, maybe, that nothing can be known. I don’t know anything, anyway.

Or that there is beauty everywhere, but it seems like nobody notices. Maybe it’s too familiar to get people’s attention. It rarely gets my attention. You have to slow down, really look. Look closer. Then, sometimes, you can see. The dogs and cats notice. They’re not as domesticated as we are. What a strange quirk of evolution that we humans seemingly ‘get used’ to beauty so we don’t really see it anymore.

It’s just all happening. Or it seems to be. It’s at once mind-bogglingly real and not real at all. Sure seems real though. Amazing what our brains can construct to make sense of things, what they can imagine, what they can believe. And since ‘we’ don’t actually decide anything, or do anything, it doesn’t matter that everything these brains construct is a fiction. An interpretation in vacuo of the firehose of electrical impulses coming from our senses, one that can never actually reflect reality. But it doesn’t matter. What happens, happens, regardless.

Some who have studied birds for a lifetime surmise that birds don’t see separate ‘things’. They see movement, of course. But they just kind of ‘take in’ everything all-together-at-once and respond instinctively to what their senses perceive, without trying to make meaning of it, or parse it, or judge it. Even if they had a word for it, they would not identify something as ‘prey’, or even as anything separate from anything else. They don’t need labels to thrive.

I can see this inseparability-of-everything sometimes, when I pay attention, for a short time. And then I go back to being everyone else. Separating everything, tearing everything apart to make meaning of it. I’m used to it now, it’s how the circuits of this brain were formed, way back then, thanks to everyone I’ve ever met and everything I’ve ever read, back in all those times that never happened. It’s the only way I can think, the only way I ‘see’ things at all, most of the time, in this abstract, veiled way. It’s comfortable, living this illusion. It’s a tragedy, a waste, I guess, but it’s OK.

Beautiful, terrible world, PS calls it. Sounds about right. Amazing, astonishing, awful, awesome. We rush around as if we’re going somewhere, but it’s all already here, already decided, already done. It’s all in the can. We’re just the audience, barking in the stands, believing what is conjured up in front of us on the stage, on the retinal screen, is real, and happening now.

I realize I’ve never known anyone, not really, not even myself. Especially not myself. I’ve just made up stories and told them to others and they’ve shrugged and said, essentially, “close enough, I guess”. But they say that only if the stories I tell them are stories they want to hear, stories that mesh and resonate with the stories they’ve told themselves, with what they want to believe to be true. I know better than to tell them stories they don’t want to hear. There is no point. They won’t hear them, can’t hear them. It’s OK; they’re just stories anyway.

So there are these people walking round here, on the paths and sidewalks, seeming to be real. I have to walk around them or I’ll bump into them, after all. We all agree that we are all real. But what does that even mean? I know nothing about them, even the people I claim to know well. I don’t even know where ‘they’ end and ‘not-them’ begins, or anything at all about the ‘not-them’ stuff that makes up most of what they call ‘their’ body.

All I know is the pieces of a story they tell me about themselves, and the pieces I tell myself about them. And all I know about myself is, likewise, the story I tell myself about myself. The plot keeps changing though, and some of the story-lines are pretty thin. Way too many flashbacks and flash-forwards to be coherent. And the characters, including the protagonist of my own story, don’t hang together at all well either. Heroes or villains, I can’t tell. Just not believable, not someone anyone could ever relate to. They need to be spec’d out better if we’re ever going to believe they are real. Editor please!

As I wander through the neighbourhood, I make up stories about the people I see (and about the dogs and cats and birds too). It’s a writer thing. Some of the stories are, I think, clever, or at least interesting. The little boy in the mall commenting to his parents about having seen two Santa Clauses a couple of minutes apart. My story is that he wants to know which is the real one. That he wants so much to believe that somehow there is a real one that he’ll buy any story they tell him, no matter how preposterous. Like the people I know who want to believe Biden is really a good guy who knows what he’s doing, he’s just being presented badly by the press, and by his ‘handlers’, and his foes are taking what he says and does out of context, and lying about the rest.

But all that is just my story. It’s probably wrong. Maybe the kid’s about to discover the lie he’s been told, for ‘his own good’ (both the lie, and now the truth). Maybe that MAGA guy is about to wake up and discover the lie he’s been told about climate collapse. Anything can happen.

I could write a series of short entertaining stories now, about the anecdotes I witnessed, or thought I did, or maybe mostly invented, during my walk. That would be hard work, but it’s fun, and readers might find them amusing.

I could write about the woman going into the bistro as a man is leaving, and just outside the door, they both move the same way, and then both move the opposite way, trying to make room for each other, and then they both laugh, and the man then does a little dance-y spin to make fun of their uncoordinated movements, and then the woman puts her arm up and dances around him and for a moment they’re actually spontaneously dancing, before they laugh and nod and each go on their way. But you could probably write a story about them that would be just as good, and funnier, and more concise.

Or I could write about the homeless guy in the wheelchair who wheels over to the same place midway between the mall and the Skytrain station each day, out there on the edge of the parking lot, and erects a kind of makeshift tent out of tarps, without ever leaving his seat, to protect him and the chair and the little metal box at his feet from the rain, and how every time he sees me he nods and smiles, and gives a little bow in his seat, saying, always “Thank you again!” You could probably embellish that with a bit of a back story — he wears a kind of ersatz military jacket and has some very unusual tattoos. Hell, you could probably compose a whole short story about him, with a little imagination.

Instead, however, I sit by the window of my apartment, staring at the panorama of lights spread out below, and drink tea and eat nuts and seeds and berries, which are OK and which are supposed to be good for preventing prostate ‘problems’ and dementia. Can’t hurt, I guess.

And then I go to bed, tossing and turning, and then finally fall asleep.


the place I dreamt about, as depicted by Midjourney AI; my own prompt

In my dream I am wandering in the neighbourhood, but it is not ‘my’ neighbourhood. In the dream, we live in a tropical rainforest, not the boreal one I live in. In the dream, the people are all beautiful, all smiling, adorned with mutually-made body art instead of clothes. The food and water we need is easy to forage near where we live, and we live in hammocks in the trees. Most of the day is spent in various forms of play, and when we play, we laugh, we have fun, we get silly. Like other wild creatures, we go back and forth between two states: enthusiasm and equanimity.

In my dream there are wild creatures everywhere, but they’re not domesticated, not confined, and they are unafraid of humans. In this other reality, we are not doomed, as Loren Eiseley heart-breakingly said, to realize nature only in retreat. There are jaguars in this forest, I know, and we’ve all known those who were eaten by jaguars and other apex predators of this forest, our home, but this is not something we’re anxious about, something we change our behaviour and our lives to try to prevent. The jaguars have to eat, too, and if they choose us to eat, that’s in a sense an honour. It’s the only thing that could have happened. It’s OK. We may run, or fight, or freeze, and we may grieve those who have been eaten, but that’s what life is about. Nothing is right or wrong, good or bad. Just what is. Accepted. All just seeming parts of the one everything, in motion, in flux. Just a rearrangement. Just an appearance.

Just a dream.

In my dream all of this made sense. It seemed not only possible, but the natural way we humans were meant to live. Of course we are told that humans have never lived this way, but I don’t see why we couldn’t have, or might one day live that way again. It’s what I want to believe, even though it’s only a story. Gaia is my Santa Claus, I guess.

So I wake up, and realize it was ‘just’ a dream, but I wonder if what this brain and this concocted ‘self’ sees as reality is just a different kind of dream, just as unreal, just as much the brain’s invention.

Every morning, this brain does what it has been conditioned to do — recreating the story of a separate self with a past and a future, the story of linear time, the story of volition, and everything having a meaning and a purpose and somehow making sense, in order that this body can do what it must do, supposedly, to survive, and, most importantly, to look after its ‘self’. At least that’s how it appears, to the self. None of this seems of any import to this seeming body, this awkward and fragile bag of water and cells and organs and tissues, which does not perceive itself as being apart from anything else. This body — or its billions of constituents to be more precise — just act out their conditioning, not needing any sense of self or separation or time or purpose to do so.

It’s beautiful, what it does, without a thought, without anyone or anything in control. Astonishing even.

But we humans, possessed of selves, don’t notice much. We’re too used to it. Too busy trying to find what is missing, what is needed.

What was never lost.


Thank you to all the readers who have helped me hone and refine and sometimes totally change the thoughts and feelings and perceptions and conceptions that, year after year, this blog tries to chronicle. I have no idea what is going on, but your comments and letters and conversations seem to make this lost, scared, bewildered (but illusory) ’me’ a little less clueless, and this blog’s preposterous propositions a tiny bit less incoherent. This, it seems, is what I do. I can’t help myself.

And, I’m afraid, neither can you. May it turn out as it will, for you and those you care about, in 2024.

Posted in Creative Works, Month-End Reflections | 7 Comments

Can Any Country ‘Divorce’ the US Empire?


This map, from Multipolarista, shows the US-centred Empire bloc of nations (in red) that subscribe to the US-invented Rules Based International Order. The countries in green do not recognize that order, and they continue to support de facto a UN-centred international system governed by international law.

Bilateral agreements are complex and tricky, kind of like the agreements parties enter into, both documented and tacit, in personal (and business) partnerships.

Once agreements have been made, it can be exceedingly difficult to unwind them, when one or more parties to the arrangement decide to end, or radically reform, the relationship. There are legal, financial, and logistic complications for a start — the division of assets (especially large ones that can’t easily be ‘divided’), rights of access, and ongoing compensation, among others. One need only look at the absolute fiasco of Brexit to see what can happen.

As Clinton Fernandez, an Australian professor and former intelligence officer, has taken pains to explain, the countries in red in the chart above entered into what he calls ‘sub-Imperial’ power arrangements — lopsided partnerships — with the US Empire over the past 75-80 years. Clinton argues that we entered into those relationships with our eyes open — we agreed to enforce the Imperial Power’s rule in our geographic region, in return for political, economic and military favours (including “security”). The deal seemed promising at the time.

But relationships change, and there is a lot of evidence that, whether or not this was a devil’s bargain originally, it has now ceased to be in the interests of many if not all of the ‘sub-Imperial’ nations in bed with the US Empire. To wit:

  • The US Empire has abused our trust in order to acquire many (in some cases most) of the resources of our country, often at highly-discounted prices, and is using or has signalled plans to use those resources exclusively for the benefit of the US, and not for our mutual benefit.
  • The US Empire has become politically and economically unstable due principally to the staggering incompetence of its leaders over the entire period of this Empire’s existence. It is now technically bankrupt, propped up only by its coercively retained ‘exorbitant privilege’ of being able to print endless amounts of worthless currency which we are obliged to honour at face value. The misdistribution of wealth and power within the Empire is so obscenely unequal that its own citizens seem now prepared to vote for a deranged neo-fascist in self-defeating protest for their exclusion from a fair share of the bounty and spoils of the Empire’s activities. They are also putting up physical and economic walls around its borders, and arming the perimeters of the Empire to the teeth, by bullying the sub-Imperial powers into buying its mostly-useless, insanely-overpriced military products, and allowing the Empire to occupy large swathes of each country for purposes of launching, or threatening, military actions against non-Empire countries.
  • The US Empire has always put its own interests first, even when those interests are severely detrimental to the interests of the sub-Imperial nations. That of course makes sense to the US Empire, the same way that spousal and child abuse by a stronger family member ‘makes sense’ to advance the interests of the abuser. Biden’s bombing of the Nord Stream pipelines, and the US Empire’s endless sanctions programs, have seriously damaged the economies of the sub-Imperial powers. Its arm-twisting, enabled by a massive and sustained global propaganda campaign, of the sub-Imperial powers to support the US Empire’s endless wars against nations that don’t kow-tow to it, even when those nations actually pose no political or military threat, only an economic threat (caused by the US Empire’s own colossal mishandling of its domestic economy), has severely tarnished the reputation of the entire Empire, including that of the sub-Imperial powers, in the eyes of most of the rest of the world.
  • This massive propaganda campaign, directed against the citizens of the sub-Imperial powers as well as the US Empire’s own citizens, has instilled such intense fear and misunderstanding that many citizens of the sub-Imperial powers are now convinced that their own governments’ long-standing and world-leading mixed-economy, social tolerance, social security, egalitarian, and immigrant-welcoming programs are wrong-headed, and that the sub-Imperial powers should instead pursue the utterly failed privatize-everything, might-makes-right, everyone-for-themselves, intolerant, wall-building, caste-based, unregulated, and brutally inhumane programs espoused and pursued by decades of the US Empire’s leaders.

In short, the ‘marriage’ of the sub-Imperial powers to the US Empire (just as with the vassal states of the Roman Empire as it was crumbling) no longer serves the interests of most if not all of the sub-Imperial powers.

We in the sub-Imperial nations now face massive global dangers and insecurity instead of security. We face economic collapse because we have ceded control of our own economies to the US Empire. We are facing political strife because the Empire’s relentless propaganda has perverted our citizens’ understanding and appreciation of our healthy, collaborative, internationalist, tolerant, egalitarian values, into a fear-driven distrust and loathing of public institutions, public services, and bilateral agreements of nations dealing with each other as peers.

And we are facing the near-global opprobrium of non-Empire nations’ citizens (most of the planet’s population) because we refuse to stand up the Empire’s endless attacks on and interference in the affairs of sovereign nations, and its relentless bullying, hate- and war-mongering. And we refuse to stand up to these abuses by the Empire because, like the battered victims of serial abusers, we know all too well the consequences of saying ‘no’ to what we’re told by our abuser.

If we were honest with ourselves, we would admit that this ‘marriage’ is a disaster, one that threatens to pull us down with the Empire as it collapses. But we cannot be honest with ourselves. We know how dangerous and horrific it could/would be for us to withdraw from this terrible ‘partnership’ of unequals. We are ashamed of our own weakness in letting things get to this state, in not realizing that this ‘partner’ we admired enough to commit to is actually an abusive, pathological tyrant, and an existential threat to us all.

How could we ‘break the news’ to our citizens, who have been heavily propagandized throughout the relationship to see the our abusive partner as a strong, just, powerful leader? Maybe our citizens would, in the face of ‘divorce’, choose to go with the abuser they have always depended on instead of the weak partner who wants to tear up the relationship they have known their whole lives.

And that, I think, is where we stand now. We knew our troubled partner back when it appeared kind, generous, and honest, and when it seemingly shared our values. We keep hoping that, with some help perhaps, that partner we tied ourselves to will go back to being what it was when we first established our relationship.

We are fooling ourselves.

But it probably doesn’t matter. There are no independent ‘divorce courts’ to appeal to in the cases of unequal partnerships of nations that have broken down due to irreconcilable differences. No one is going to help us exit this awful relationship, and if we try to leave, we will lose everything.

Empires, especially in the advancing stages of collapse, will not tolerate sub-Imperial powers that refuse to support them, that refuse to do what they’re told.

There is no undoing what we’ve done.

Posted in Collapse Watch, How the World Really Works | 7 Comments

Healing From Trauma in the Time of Collapse

I want to apologize for the ads that appeared on of one of my recent posts on the version sent out by follow.it to email subscribers — I failed to renew my premium membership that allows these emails to go out without ads. Hopefully I won’t forget again.


image by Midjourney AI; not my prompt

Recently, some mostly right-wing opinionators* have been tut-tutting about the extensive research that suggests that long-term, even generational trauma underlies much of the violence and hatred we see playing out in the world today. Their argument seems to be that war, violence and cruelty have always been with us, and so it makes no sense to argue that we are, as a species, any more traumatized than we have been in centuries past. Their implication is that past generations were just more self-disciplined and hence better behaved than we are.

Of course, they’re entitled to their opinion, and since studies of human behaviour lack the rigour of scientific evidence, it’s hard to prove them wrong. I cannot speak about the experience of previous generations — it may be that in the past, religion, political and social indoctrination, and other forms of conditioning made humans more self-restrained and self-censoring, sublimating and turning their trauma inward instead of expressing it outwardly in acts of violence, except behind closed doors.

But if you believe, as I do, that our behaviour is simply the reflection of our biological and cultural conditioning, given the circumstances of the moment, then the expression of our internal trauma (a form of mental illness) through external acts of physical and psychological violence would seem almost tautological. If our species has been rendered pathological by the stresses and traumas of living in a horrifically fast-changing, perilous, brutal, scarcity-plagued, uncertain, disconnected, insensitive, unfathomable, seemingly out-of-control and massively over-crowded and fragile civilization, it only makes sense that that pathology would be manifested in acts of brutal cruelty, extreme hatred, violence, war, and genocide as this civilization falls over the brink into collapse.

One of the whipping-boys of the opinionators is the idea (of psychologists) that to prevent early trauma, humans need, in early childhood, a sense of secure attachment (to their mothers, primarily, but also to their ‘tribe’ and to the place where they ‘belong’), and also need the ability to be their authentic selves and to relate to other people authentically.

Secure attachment from infancy means, in substance, that you know you will be cared for and looked after, and that you will therefore develop the capacity and the belief in the importance of caring for and looking after others. Authenticity means that when you are asked something, you are not afraid to tell the truth, and not afraid to say what you really believe, out of fear of adverse consequences for doing so.

Secure attachment enables the development of trust and mutuality, self-confidence, and connection to others, and is arguably a prerequisite to genuinely caring about other people and the world. Authenticity enables the development of a coherent sense of identity, beliefs and worldview, and comfort in your sense of who you are and where and how you stand in relation to others and the world.

“Nonsense,” say the opinionators. “All it requires is a bit of backbone, self-control, and a strong moral upbringing to overcome not having these things in early childhood. No need to baby people to have them behave decently.”

In this short video, Gabor Maté summarizes the counter-argument to this. “Trauma is not what happens to you,” he says, “trauma is what happens inside you as a result of what happens to you.” In this video, he explains how what happened inside you (often as a result of your lack of attachment or incapacity for authenticity in early childhood) will get triggered for the rest of your life when an incident occurs that reminds you in any way of what provoked that traumatic feeling inside you. It hence becomes part of your conditioning. The result can be pathological behaviour — constant neurotic feelings of abandonment, inadequacy, profound distrust, betrayal, and extreme suppression of emotions, leading to acts of hatred, cruelty, and violence.

This traumatizing ‘feeling inside of you’ that happened in early childhood is, Gabor explains, actually a coping mechanism, a survival technique, and is your body’s way of recognizing and alerting you about a danger or hurt, so you can supposedly ‘deal’ with it. But if you grow up not being allowed to accept yourself, listen to your ‘gut’ feelings, or express yourself authentically, you may be left with no way to deal with this hurt, so it just festers. “If your ‘survival’ depends on you being a certain way (pathological, inauthentic, dishonest, suppressing your feelings), you’re not going to give it up that easily”.

A lot of Gabor’s interviews have titles about ‘how’ to ‘heal’ from a lack of attachment or authenticity stemming from your earliest childhood. But what he talks about is not a process, but rather a sustained practice developing self-awareness about what it was that, in any particular stressful situation in your life, provoked an angry, sad, or fearful response in you, and what childhood trigger underlay that response, which is rarely related to what actually occurred in that moment. And if you can recognize that it was childhood trauma being triggered and not actually the events of the current moment that produced your reaction, you can then, he says, start to understand and heal from it.

I’m not sure where I stand on the possibility of (self-)healing from the effects of trauma. I think for some of us, though not by any means all of us, our conditioning might equip us to be sufficiently self-aware to heal. But I can accept that it is this triggering of childhood trauma that underlies and enables the ferocious emotional reaction that leads to the (uniquely human) propensity to commit the acts of cruelty, abuse, hatred, violence, war, and genocide that we see everywhere in the world today.

And those suffering from severe trauma who are also in positions of power (and sociopaths often seem to seek power as a futile means of gaining control over their seemingly out-of-control lives), will exploit this knowledge of how trauma works and can be triggered, to ‘deliberately’ (though they actually have no choice over their behaviour) provoke a traumatized response in others — to foment a mob into furious violence, an army into war, or a nation into hate and extremism, for example — by playing on others’ deeply-entrenched anger, fear, and sadness, triggering the emotional response born of internal trauma in each of us.

So I look at the profoundly pathological behaviours of Biden, Trump, Netanyahu, Zelenskyy, and Putin, for example, and I can kind of see how their seemingly irrational behaviour might easily be the result of conditioned, reflexive, trauma-invoked behaviours, responses and triggers stemming from early childhood. And I can see how these men could, given their situations, have likewise been prone to provoke angry, fearful, grief-stricken responses in their colleagues and in their many followers, that have led to such horrific acts of violence by all of them.

Like these sociopathic men, we are all conditioned, and in our species, sadly, it seems much of our conditioning is complicated by trauma, and much of our behaviour therefore ends up being the acting out of that trauma.

Our brutal, frenzied, precarious, disconnected civilization has inevitably, I think, created an environment and circumstances that preclude most of us from developing a sense of secure attachment and a capacity for authenticity when we are young. And the result is that almost all of us have been, I think, to a lesser or greater degree, traumatized and made mentally ill. The desperation that will inevitably accompany the deepening collapse of this civilization may make that situation considerably worse.

In the meantime, some of us, at least, might, through self-awareness of our feelings and what is really triggering them, heal ourselves somewhat from our own personal trauma. That healing will be pretty important in determining what our collective conditioned responses will be to the polycrisis of civilizational collapse. The more of us who are able to keep our wits about us, and not fall victim to the very human propensity to be triggered by, and act out, our trauma, in much of what we do, the better we are likely to cope as a species on the long way down.


* I kinda like this term. I find it applies across the political spectrum to people who offer nothing to a debate or discussion except their personal uninformed or misinformed opinion (or that of someone whose opinions they parrot uncritically), and who mistake righteous indignation for passionate argument. Almost all of what passes for relevant discussion in the mainstream media (notably the op-eds) and in social media is, IMO, nothing but opinionating. But that’s just my opinion.

Posted in Collapse Watch, How the World Really Works, Our Culture / Ourselves | 7 Comments

Self-Directed Learning (Sort of)

kelvin high school
a photo of my high school, c. 1969

I‘ve written before about my brief, astonishing experience with self-directed learning — aka Unschooling (or “independent study”, as they called it back then) — at the end of my high school years. This experiment utterly transformed my worldview, my competencies for dealing with the world, and the trajectory of my life.

PS Pirro brilliantly summarized the purpose and benefits of Unschooling in her book 101 Reasons Why I’m an Unschooler, Excerpt:

The world of the classroom is so unlike anything the real world has to offer – with the exception of other classrooms – that kids can excel at school only to find themselves utterly lost in the real world. Some people think this is the result of failed schooling, but a few of us suspect otherwise. We suspect that this sense of displacement and confusion is actually the result of schooling that succeeds in its most basic unwritten objective: to keep you dependent, timid, worried, nervous, compliant, and afraid of the World.  To keep you waiting. To keep you manageable. To keep you helpless. To keep you small.

Educated, confident, creative people are dangerous to the status quo, dangerous to a centralized economy, dangerous to a centralized system of command and control. Those in power don’t want you educated. They want you schooled.

It is not up to teachers or school administrators to figure out what you should be or do. It’s not up to the State, it’s not up to your guidance counselors. It’s not up to your parents. What you do with your life ought to be up to you. What you learn ought to be up to you.  How you navigate the world and create your place in it ought to be your decision. Your life belongs to you.  School does its best to disabuse you of this notion. Unschooling celebrates it. Unschooling puts the responsibility for creating a satisfying life squarely where it belongs: in the hands of the one living it.

Basically, this year of entirely self-directed learning endowed me with the capacity to learn things for myself — I no longer needed to be “taught” in order to learn. This was long before the internet came along and gave us a ton of new resources for self-directed learning — but gave us none of the competencies needed to use them.

As a result, I am constantly amazed to read, hear and see people who have all the information they need at their disposal to become deeply informed and conversant on many subjects, but who write, speak and act as if they had studied and understand none of it. This is not so much about literacy as it is about the ability to find and critically parse information — to consider its possible biases (and our own!), to seek corroborating and alternative perspectives, to review evidence that supports and challenges what is being said, and to engage in conversations with others that clarify, question and deepen our understanding.

The ‘conversations’ aspect of Unschooling is IMO critical. Self-directed learning isn’t just looking at stuff on the internet (or in books) — so-called “secondary research”. It also entails doing primary research — talking with people who know more than you know (or different things from what you know) on a subject.

My single greatest learning from being tasked with the job of being the Chief Knowledge Officer (yes, that was my actual title) of a large consultancy was this:

Almost all useful “knowledge transfer” (ie new understanding) occurs through skillful, one-on-one and small-group conversations, on topics that the participants have considerable but diverse knowledge of, and which the participants really care about.

That’s a tall order. Spouting of context-free, content-free and evidence-free opinions does not convey useful understanding. Discussions among people devoid of good conversation skills, facilitation skills and listening skills do not convey useful understanding. “Doing your own research” without supplementing it with conversations with people who know what is not available online or in books, and who “know more than they can write down” (that’s all of us, Dave Snowden reminds us), does not convey useful understanding.

And, of course, if, due to the catastrophe of formal schooling, we have never exercised our learning ‘muscle’ — our inherent capacity to know what to look for, where to look, how to look, who to talk with, how to critically parse and make sense of the information we obtain, and how to articulate it in our own minds and to others — those conversations will likely be fruitless in any case.

Our schooling system, as PS says, keeps us dependent on “schooling” — on being told the right answer, so we don’t have to think for ourselves. That’s not because those operating our schooling systems are ‘evil’. They honestly believe the world would be a better place if we all shared a common understanding (or common misunderstanding) of how things are, and why they are that way. And how they should be. They see nothing wrong with us all marching to the same drumbeat. After all, that’s how they were taught.

And so, once again, it really comes down to our conditioning. If you’re brought up with parents, friends and mentors who have been conditioned to love learning and to be competent at it, you’re likely to develop that love and retain that competency yourself, and pass it on to others. And, sadly, vice versa.

More than a little “home-schooling” (not at all the same thing as Unschooling) is done by parents who fear their children learning “the wrong things” in the formal schooling system. They essentially want to condition (indoctrinate) their children to believe unquestioningly what they believe. They’ve been conditioned all their lives to fear ‘evil’ (immoral thoughts, dangerous ideas, and the unknown, exemplified by ‘foreign’ people who they do not understand, and do not care to). And they intend to condition their children likewise. They have never learned to think and learn for themselves, so they do not trust the process, and don’t want their children to, either. It’s understandable.

The current Speaker of the US House, for example, exchanged, on a weekly basis, logs of porn sites and other ‘dangerous’ online sites, captured by security software on his, and his son’s, computer. When you have never learned to think for yourself, everything online is potentially dangerous. You must be continually coerced to consume only ‘approved’ information and ideas, even if that means buying espionage software to monitor your kid’s masturbation habits.

And this proclivity to actively discourage children from learning for themselves, out of distrust (they might learn the “wrong” things) is not limited to right-wing “home-schoolers”. I’ve seen examples of “progressive” parents who have signed up for self-directed learning programs for their children, but who insist that the program offerers provide “coaching” in subjects like anti-oppression, anti-racism, reparations and intersectionality.

This is no different from conservative parents insisting that their home-schooled or public/private-schooled children receive indoctrination in religious and moral issues in accordance with their particular religious (and sometimes political) views. You either trust your children to be able to think critically when you provide them with the capacities and resources to do so, or you don’t.

And if you don’t, you’re liable to support the banning of books and online censorship, and other means of indoctrinating your children (and others) to think like you do.

This is why I added the parenthetical words to this article’s title. The latest evidence on our (lack of) ‘free will’ suggests that everything we think, do and believe is conditioned, by our biology and by our culture — the people whose ideas, thinking and beliefs we are exposed to.

What real self-directed learning — Unschooling — offers is the means and opportunity to embrace a much broader and more diverse range of different, often conflicting, ideas, information and beliefs, and the capacity to consider and reflect on that entire range critically and thoughtfully. The result is almost inevitably a more tolerant, nuanced and deliberative worldview, one that is open to change and less likely to fall victim to propaganda, misinformation, hate-mongering, cognitive biases and groupthink.

If your conditioning has allowed and enabled you to embrace and employ self-directed learning, and to condition those around you to do likewise, you’re likely, I think, to be able to face every day, and the future, with the capacities, enthusiasm, and self-confidence to skillfully navigate just about anything you may face. Because you won’t just believe. You’ll know, as much as possible, what’s really going on, and why, and what might be done to deal with it effectively.

If your conditioning hasn’t given you these capacities… well, just look at what’s going on in the world, and you’ll readily see what happens when everyone is told what to believe and what to do, and discouraged and disabled from thinking and learning for themselves.

Since my year of Unschooling, 55 years ago now, I have found myself continuing to Deschool myself — ‘unlearning’ everything I have been told or otherwise came to believe in the absence of context, evidence, and critical thinking. It’s a lifelong task. It’s a bit like a superpower. Maybe anyone can do it, or maybe you have to be lucky or privileged or conditioned in certain ways to be ready for it.

I don’t know. One of the delights of learning how to learn for yourself, is the realization that you really don’t know anything. It’s all just a work in process.

Posted in How the World Really Works, Our Culture / Ourselves | 8 Comments